Primeira Liga · 2024/25
2025-03-29 · 18:00
18.6710.8%
X5.0818.5%
21.3370.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Estrela
WDWWWLLLDD
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Sp Lisbon
WWWLDDWDDW
5W 4D 1L · 1.90 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
2.40
1.30
Conceded
1.20
50%
Over 2.5
80%
60%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.80
1.40
2H goals
1.80
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

3.80N=10
For
6.30N=10
5.50
Against
3.20
9.30
Total
9.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
2.40
1.30
Goals conceded
1.20
2.70
Total goals
3.60
70%7/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Estrela attack

1.40goals per match
Sp Lisbon conceded1.20
Matchup

Sp Lisbon attack

2.40goals per match
Estrela conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
1.20
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.60
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
60%6/10
0.90
2H goals scored
1.20
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.80N=10
Corners for
6.30N=10
5.50
Corners against
3.20
9.30
Match total
9.50
60%6/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.00N=10
For
2.50N=10
4.90
Match total
5.60
80%8/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

17.40N=10
Committed
11.90N=10
32.90
Match total
26.30

Shots

8.60N=10
Shots
17.50N=10
2.80
On target
6.30
16%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches63
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home10.8%12.7%+1.9 pp
Draw18.5%14.3%-4.2 pp
Away70.7%73.0%+2.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.579.4%
Over 2.557.1%
Over 3.536.5%
BTTS46.0%

Historical average

0.712.19

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-214.3%
1-311.1%
0-49.5%
0-19.5%
1-29.5%

Comparable corner averages

3.736.11
Average total9.84

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=63.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.1%
Over 9.550.8%
Over 10.536.5%
Over 11.530.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches19
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT15.8%5.5%–37.6% CI
Draw FT21.1%8.5%–43.3% CI
Away FT63.2%41.0%–80.9% CI

Remaining goals

2.00

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal84.2%
2+ goals63.2%
3+ goals36.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home31.6%
Away73.7%