Primeira Liga · 2024/25
2025-03-29 · 15:30
12.0845.4%
X3.3228.5%
23.6226.1%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Casa Pia
DWDDWDWWWL
5W 4D 1L · 1.90 PPM
Rio Ave
LLWLLDWDLL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM
Goals
1.40
Scored
0.70
0.90
Conceded
1.70
30%
Over 2.5
40%
70%
BTTS
40%
By half
1.50
1H goals
1.10
0.80
2H goals
1.30
60%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
4.50N=10
For
3.10N=10
5.20
Against
5.40
9.70
Total
8.50
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
0.70
0.90
Goals conceded
1.70
2.30
Total goals
2.40
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Casa Pia attack
1.40goals per matchRio Ave conceded1.70Matchup
Rio Ave attack
0.70goals per matchCasa Pia conceded0.90Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.20
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.40
2H goals scored
0.50
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.50N=10
Corners for
3.10N=10
5.20
Corners against
5.40
9.70
Match total
8.50
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.50N=10
For
2.40N=10
5.00
Match total
4.60
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.80N=10
Committed
12.60N=10
24.30
Match total
27.60
Shots
10.60N=10
Shots
10.20N=10
3.60
On target
3.10
13%
Conversion
7%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches560
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home45.4%47.0%+1.5 pp
Draw28.5%27.0%-1.5 pp
Away26.1%26.1%-0.0 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.568.8%
Over 2.542.9%
Over 3.523.8%
BTTS49.3%
Historical average
1.45–0.98
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-112.9%
1-012.7%
0-110.0%
2-09.8%
2-19.8%
Comparable corner averages
5.36–4.34
Average total9.70
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=560.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.560.5%
Over 9.548.8%
Over 10.537.3%
Over 11.529.3%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches182
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT39.0%32.2%–46.3% CI
Draw FT39.0%32.2%–46.3% CI
Away FT22.0%16.6%–28.5% CI
Remaining goals
1.30
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal73.6%
2+ goals36.8%
3+ goals12.6%
Who scores in 2H
Home55.5%
Away40.1%