Primeira Liga · 2024/25
2025-03-29 · 15:30
12.0845.4%
X3.3228.5%
23.6226.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Casa Pia
DWDDWDWWWL
5W 4D 1L · 1.90 PPM
Rio Ave
LLWLLDWDLL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
0.70
0.90
Conceded
1.70
30%
Over 2.5
40%
70%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.50
1H goals
1.10
0.80
2H goals
1.30
60%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

4.50N=10
For
3.10N=10
5.20
Against
5.40
9.70
Total
8.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
0.70
0.90
Goals conceded
1.70
2.30
Total goals
2.40
70%7/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
70%7/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Casa Pia attack

1.40goals per match
Rio Ave conceded1.70
Matchup

Rio Ave attack

0.70goals per match
Casa Pia conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.20
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.90
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.40
2H goals scored
0.50
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.80
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
10%1/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.50N=10
Corners for
3.10N=10
5.20
Corners against
5.40
9.70
Match total
8.50
50%5/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.50N=10
For
2.40N=10
5.00
Match total
4.60
70%7/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

12.80N=10
Committed
12.60N=10
24.30
Match total
27.60

Shots

10.60N=10
Shots
10.20N=10
3.60
On target
3.10
13%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches560
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home45.4%47.0%+1.5 pp
Draw28.5%27.0%-1.5 pp
Away26.1%26.1%-0.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.568.8%
Over 2.542.9%
Over 3.523.8%
BTTS49.3%

Historical average

1.450.98

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-112.9%
1-012.7%
0-110.0%
2-09.8%
2-19.8%

Comparable corner averages

5.364.34
Average total9.70

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=560.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.560.5%
Over 9.548.8%
Over 10.537.3%
Over 11.529.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches182
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT39.0%32.2%–46.3% CI
Draw FT39.0%32.2%–46.3% CI
Away FT22.0%16.6%–28.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.30

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal73.6%
2+ goals36.8%
3+ goals12.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home55.5%
Away40.1%