Primeira Liga · 2024/25
2025-03-16 · 20:30
11.7852.9%
X3.3827.8%
24.8819.3%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Moreirense
DWWWLDDLWD
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Boavista
DLDWDLLLLL
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM
Goals
1.20
Scored
0.90
1.20
Conceded
2.10
50%
Over 2.5
80%
60%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.10
1H goals
1.20
1.30
2H goals
1.80
60%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
3.20N=10
For
2.60N=10
5.10
Against
7.20
8.30
Total
9.80
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
0.90
1.20
Goals conceded
2.10
2.40
Total goals
3.00
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Moreirense attack
1.20goals per matchBoavista conceded2.10Matchup
Boavista attack
0.90goals per matchMoreirense conceded1.20Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.30
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.50
2H goals scored
0.60
0.80
2H goals conceded
1.20
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
3.20N=10
Corners for
2.60N=10
5.10
Corners against
7.20
8.30
Match total
9.80
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.20N=10
For
2.50N=10
4.90
Match total
5.10
Over 3.5
Fouls
17.10N=10
Committed
12.00N=10
32.10
Match total
26.00
Shots
10.20N=10
Shots
8.20N=10
4.00
On target
3.10
12%
Conversion
11%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches196
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home52.9%50.0%-2.9 pp
Draw27.8%28.6%+0.7 pp
Away19.3%21.4%+2.1 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.563.3%
Over 2.536.7%
Over 3.520.9%
BTTS43.4%
Historical average
1.43–0.83
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-016.3%
1-113.3%
2-011.2%
0-110.2%
0-010.2%
Comparable corner averages
5.45–3.52
Average total8.97
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=196.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.557.7%
Over 9.544.4%
Over 10.527.6%
Over 11.520.4%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches79
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT39.2%29.2%–50.3% CI
Draw FT32.9%23.6%–43.9% CI
Away FT27.8%19.2%–38.6% CI
Remaining goals
1.10
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal74.7%
2+ goals26.6%
3+ goals7.6%
Who scores in 2H
Home49.4%
Away39.2%