Primeira Liga · 2024/25
2025-03-16 · 18:00
17.7712.1%
X5.1518.3%
21.3569.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Rio Ave
DDDWDWLDDW
3W 6D 1L · 1.50 PPM
Benfica
DWWWDWLLWW
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM

Goals

1.70
Scored
1.60
1.70
Conceded
0.90
80%
Over 2.5
40%
90%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.60
1H goals
1.30
1.80
2H goals
1.20
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.10N=10
For
7.00N=10
4.70
Against
2.40
8.80
Total
9.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
1.60
1.70
Goals conceded
0.90
3.40
Total goals
2.50
100%10/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
90%9/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Rio Ave attack

1.70goals per match
Benfica conceded0.90
Matchup

Benfica attack

1.60goals per match
Rio Ave conceded1.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.90
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.40
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.70
1.00
2H goals conceded
0.50
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.10N=10
Corners for
7.00N=10
4.70
Corners against
2.40
8.80
Match total
9.40
30%3/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
90%9/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
2.20N=10
4.00
Match total
4.70
60%6/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

13.80N=10
Committed
11.10N=10
27.40
Match total
24.20

Shots

12.00N=10
Shots
15.30N=10
4.60
On target
6.20
14%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches74
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home12.1%10.8%-1.3 pp
Draw18.3%16.2%-2.0 pp
Away69.6%73.0%+3.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.575.7%
Over 2.555.4%
Over 3.533.8%
BTTS48.6%

Historical average

0.822.19

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-214.9%
0-213.5%
0-110.8%
1-09.5%
1-16.8%

Comparable corner averages

3.396.59
Average total9.99

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=74.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.567.6%
Over 9.551.4%
Over 10.541.9%
Over 11.525.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches14
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT14.3%4.0%–39.9% CI
Draw FT42.9%21.4%–67.4% CI
Away FT42.9%21.4%–67.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.07

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal78.6%
2+ goals28.6%
3+ goals0.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home35.7%
Away64.3%