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Primeira Liga · 2024/25
2025-03-16 · 15:30

Nacional

vs

Casa Pia

12.4139.0%
X3.2429.0%
22.9432.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
51020Season
Context
Home / AwayOverall
Past seasons
ExcludeInclude
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Nacional
LWDWLWWLDW
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Casa Pia
DLDLWWWLLL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
1.30
1.10
Conceded
1.60
50%
Over 2.5
50%
40%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.50
1.00
2H goals
1.40
50%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.20N=10
For
3.10N=10
6.00
Against
5.80
10.20
Total
8.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
1.30
1.10
Goals conceded
1.60
2.40
Total goals
2.90
80%8/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Nacional attack

1.30goals per match
Casa Pia conceded1.60
Matchup

Casa Pia attack

1.30goals per match
Nacional conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.60
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.90
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.30
2H goals scored
0.70
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.70
50%5/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.20N=10
Corners for
3.10N=10
6.00
Corners against
5.80
10.20
Match total
8.90
70%7/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.60N=10
For
2.10N=10
6.30
Match total
4.40
80%8/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

13.50N=10
Committed
15.60N=10
27.70
Match total
27.20

Shots

13.50N=10
Shots
9.00N=10
4.60
On target
3.40
10%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
AllTop 5CountryLeague
History
3y5y10yAll
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches805
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home39.0%38.1%-0.9 pp
Draw29.0%31.9%+2.9 pp
Away32.0%29.9%-2.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.567.5%
Over 2.539.5%
Over 3.522.0%
BTTS48.8%

Historical average

1.20–1.10

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.4%
1-011.4%
0-011.2%
0-19.9%
2-18.9%

Comparable corner averages

5.18–4.44
Average total9.62

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=805.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.1%
Over 9.549.9%
Over 10.537.3%
Over 11.527.3%
Half-time score
0-01-00-11-12-00-2Altro
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches297
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT26.9%22.2%–32.3% CI
Draw FT45.1%39.6%–50.8% CI
Away FT27.9%23.1%–33.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.23

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal69.7%
2+ goals36.7%
3+ goals12.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home46.5%
Away46.8%
Related pages

Open the teams, competition or a direct side-by-side comparison without returning to search.

Home teamNacionalForm, scoring, venue splits and recent matches.Away teamCasa PiaForm, scoring, venue splits and recent matches.CompareNacional vs Casa PiaCompare both teams across the same current-season window.CompetitionPrimeira LigaLeague results, averages, matchday data and coverage.RankingsPrimeira Liga team rankingsSee how teams in this competition rank across StatsXI metrics.