Primeira Liga · 2024/25
2025-03-15 · 20:30
11.3072.5%
X5.1818.2%
210.089.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Sp Lisbon
WWWLWWWWDW
8W 1D 1L · 2.50 PPM
Famalicao
DDWLDDLWWL
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

2.40
Scored
1.40
0.80
Conceded
1.50
60%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
60%

By half

2.00
1H goals
1.50
1.20
2H goals
1.40
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

7.80N=10
For
5.30N=10
3.50
Against
5.40
11.30
Total
10.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.40
Goals scored
1.40
0.80
Goals conceded
1.50
3.20
Total goals
2.90
80%8/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Sp Lisbon attack

2.40goals per match
Famalicao conceded1.50
Matchup

Famalicao attack

1.40goals per match
Sp Lisbon conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.40
1H goals scored
0.70
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.80
100%10/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
70%7/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.70
0.20
2H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
10%1/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.80N=10
Corners for
5.30N=10
3.50
Corners against
5.40
11.30
Match total
10.70
80%8/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.40N=10
For
2.20N=10
3.80
Match total
5.10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

11.10N=10
Committed
13.20N=10
24.00
Match total
28.70

Shots

18.70N=10
Shots
12.40N=10
6.60
On target
4.60
13%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches187
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home72.5%77.5%+5.1 pp
Draw18.2%15.5%-2.7 pp
Away9.3%7.0%-2.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.573.8%
Over 2.557.2%
Over 3.537.4%
BTTS44.4%

Historical average

2.300.68

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-017.1%
2-110.7%
2-010.7%
3-07.0%
4-15.9%

Comparable corner averages

7.693.05
Average total10.74

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=187.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.571.1%
Over 9.560.4%
Over 10.550.8%
Over 11.541.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches52
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT63.5%49.9%–75.2% CI
Draw FT30.8%19.9%–44.3% CI
Away FT5.8%2.0%–15.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.31

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal78.8%
2+ goals32.7%
3+ goals11.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home73.1%
Away21.2%