Primeira Liga · 2024/25
2025-03-15 · 18:00
11.2376.6%
X6.0215.6%
212.067.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Porto
WWWWWWWDDD
7W 3D 0L · 2.40 PPM
AVS
LDDDDDLLDW
1W 6D 3L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

2.30
Scored
0.60
0.50
Conceded
1.20
50%
Over 2.5
20%
50%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.70
1H goals
1.10
2.10
2H goals
0.70
100%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

7.10N=10
For
4.00N=10
3.50
Against
5.90
10.60
Total
9.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.30
Goals scored
0.60
0.50
Goals conceded
1.20
2.80
Total goals
1.80
100%10/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
20%2/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
50%5/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Porto attack

2.30goals per match
AVS conceded1.20
Matchup

AVS attack

0.60goals per match
Porto conceded0.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.30
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.80
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.80
2H goals scored
0.30
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.40
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.10N=10
Corners for
4.00N=10
3.50
Corners against
5.90
10.60
Match total
9.90
80%8/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
2.70N=10
3.90
Match total
4.10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

13.60N=10
Committed
14.90N=10
28.00
Match total
28.10

Shots

16.40N=10
Shots
9.50N=10
6.10
On target
2.00
14%
Conversion
6%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches90
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home76.6%74.4%-2.1 pp
Draw15.6%17.8%+2.1 pp
Away7.8%7.8%-0.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.578.9%
Over 2.555.6%
Over 3.534.4%
BTTS47.8%

Historical average

2.200.72

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-015.6%
2-014.4%
3-111.1%
3-011.1%
1-18.9%

Comparable corner averages

7.062.78
Average total9.83

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=90.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.1%
Over 9.553.3%
Over 10.534.4%
Over 11.524.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches17
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT64.7%41.3%–82.7% CI
Draw FT35.3%17.3%–58.7% CI
Away FT0.0%0.0%–18.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.24

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal88.2%
2+ goals29.4%
3+ goals5.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home88.2%
Away23.5%