Primeira Liga · 2023/24
2024-05-18 · 18:00
11.0788.8%
X12.557.6%
225.823.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Sp Lisbon
WWWWWWWWWW
10W 0D 0L · 3.00 PPM
Chaves
LLDDLDDLWL
1W 4D 5L · 0.70 PPM

Goals

4.00
Scored
0.60
0.60
Conceded
1.40
90%
Over 2.5
30%
50%
BTTS
40%

By half

2.20
1H goals
0.80
2.40
2H goals
1.20
100%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

7.50N=10
For
4.10N=10
3.50
Against
8.00
11.00
Total
12.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
4.00
Goals scored
0.60
0.60
Goals conceded
1.40
4.60
Total goals
2.00
100%10/10
Over 1.5
50%5/10
90%9/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Sp Lisbon attack

4.00goals per match
Chaves conceded1.40
Matchup

Chaves attack

0.60goals per match
Sp Lisbon conceded0.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.80
1H goals scored
0.30
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.50
100%10/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
70%7/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
2.20
2H goals scored
0.30
0.20
2H goals conceded
0.90
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.50N=10
Corners for
4.10N=10
3.50
Corners against
8.00
11.00
Match total
12.10
80%8/10
Over 8.5
100%10/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.00N=10
For
3.50N=10
4.50
Match total
6.20
70%7/10
Over 3.5
100%10/10

Fouls

10.90N=10
Committed
12.80N=10
22.40
Match total
27.30

Shots

16.10N=10
Shots
7.80N=10
7.10
On target
2.60
25%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches24
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home88.8%91.7%+2.9 pp
Draw7.6%4.2%-3.4 pp
Away3.7%4.2%+0.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.591.7%
Over 2.575.0%
Over 3.558.3%
BTTS33.3%

Historical average

3.920.54

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

3-012.5%
2-012.5%
5-012.5%
4-08.3%
6-18.3%

Comparable corner averages

8.921.75
Average total10.67

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=24.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.570.8%
Over 9.558.3%
Over 10.554.2%
Over 11.541.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches19
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT78.9%56.7%–91.5% CI
Draw FT10.5%2.9%–31.4% CI
Away FT10.5%2.9%–31.4% CI

Remaining goals

2.63

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal89.5%
2+ goals63.2%
3+ goals47.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home84.2%
Away26.3%