Primeira Liga · 2023/24
2024-05-18 · 18:00
12.3141.0%
X3.3128.6%
23.1230.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Moreirense
WLWWLDWDLW
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Estoril
LDLDLDLDDL
0W 5D 5L · 0.50 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
1.30
1.10
Conceded
2.30
30%
Over 2.5
70%
30%
BTTS
90%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.70
0.90
2H goals
1.90
50%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.20N=10
For
4.90N=10
3.90
Against
4.40
9.10
Total
9.30
Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.30
1.10
Goals conceded
2.30
2.30
Total goals
3.60
40%4/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
BTTS
90%9/10
Matchup

Moreirense attack

1.20goals per match
Estoril conceded2.30
Matchup

Estoril attack

1.30goals per match
Moreirense conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.40
0.70
1H goals conceded
1.30
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.90
0.40
2H goals conceded
1.00
50%5/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.20N=10
Corners for
4.90N=10
3.90
Corners against
4.40
9.10
Match total
9.30
50%5/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
2.00N=10
3.40
Match total
4.10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

13.50N=10
Committed
11.90N=10
27.00
Match total
22.60

Shots

11.40N=10
Shots
11.10N=10
3.60
On target
3.70
11%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches913
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home41.0%42.1%+1.0 pp
Draw28.6%28.9%+0.3 pp
Away30.4%29.0%-1.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.571.1%
Over 2.547.4%
Over 3.527.6%
BTTS52.7%

Historical average

1.421.17

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-112.4%
1-010.6%
0-09.3%
2-19.0%
0-19.0%

Comparable corner averages

5.524.61
Average total10.13

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=913.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.568.1%
Over 9.555.8%
Over 10.542.3%
Over 11.531.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches282
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT33.3%28.1%–39.0% CI
Draw FT42.2%36.6%–48.0% CI
Away FT24.5%19.8%–29.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.20

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal69.9%
2+ goals34.4%
3+ goals12.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home48.9%
Away41.5%