Primeira Liga · 2023/24
2024-05-18 · 15:30
12.5736.8%
X3.9224.1%
22.4239.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Farense
LDWLDLDWLW
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Portimonense
LLLWLLLWDL
2W 1D 7L · 0.70 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
1.10
1.30
Conceded
2.40
40%
Over 2.5
70%
60%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.20
1.00
2H goals
2.30
70%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.50N=10
For
4.50N=10
6.60
Against
6.80
11.10
Total
11.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.10
1.30
Goals conceded
2.40
2.40
Total goals
3.50
70%7/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Farense attack

1.10goals per match
Portimonense conceded2.40
Matchup

Portimonense attack

1.10goals per match
Farense conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.50
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.60
0.50
2H goals conceded
1.70
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
80%8/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.50N=10
Corners for
4.50N=10
6.60
Corners against
6.80
11.10
Match total
11.30
70%7/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
2.50N=10
3.60
Match total
4.60
40%4/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

14.00N=10
Committed
12.90N=10
25.90
Match total
25.50

Shots

11.40N=10
Shots
10.10N=10
4.30
On target
2.90
10%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches55
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home36.8%40.0%+3.2 pp
Draw24.1%23.6%-0.5 pp
Away39.1%36.4%-2.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.585.5%
Over 2.561.8%
Over 3.540.0%
BTTS58.2%

Historical average

1.601.76

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-110.9%
2-09.1%
0-39.1%
1-27.3%
1-07.3%

Comparable corner averages

5.755.22
Average total10.96

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=55.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.580.0%
Over 9.567.3%
Over 10.552.7%
Over 11.536.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches12
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT41.7%19.3%–68.0% CI
Draw FT16.7%4.7%–44.8% CI
Away FT41.7%19.3%–68.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.67

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal83.3%
2+ goals33.3%
3+ goals25.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home58.3%
Away41.7%