Primeira Liga · 2023/24
2024-05-18 · 15:30
11.6657.1%
X3.9623.9%
24.9819.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Estrela
WLDLWDWLDL
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Gil Vicente
LLWLWDLLWD
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

1.60
Scored
0.80
1.90
Conceded
1.40
80%
Over 2.5
50%
80%
BTTS
30%

By half

1.60
1H goals
1.00
1.90
2H goals
1.20
70%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.90N=10
For
4.60N=10
4.80
Against
4.20
10.70
Total
8.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
0.80
1.90
Goals conceded
1.40
3.50
Total goals
2.20
100%10/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
80%8/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Estrela attack

1.60goals per match
Gil Vicente conceded1.40
Matchup

Gil Vicente attack

0.80goals per match
Estrela conceded1.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.30
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.50
1.20
2H goals conceded
0.70
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.90N=10
Corners for
4.60N=10
4.80
Corners against
4.20
10.70
Match total
8.80
80%8/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
1.70N=10
3.60
Match total
3.00
50%5/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

12.40N=10
Committed
10.00N=10
23.90
Match total
23.60

Shots

10.60N=10
Shots
9.40N=10
4.10
On target
4.70
15%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches320
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home57.1%60.6%+3.6 pp
Draw23.9%21.9%-2.0 pp
Away19.0%17.5%-1.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.577.5%
Over 2.558.8%
Over 3.531.6%
BTTS54.7%

Historical average

1.921.00

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-113.1%
1-011.6%
2-08.4%
1-18.1%
3-06.9%

Comparable corner averages

6.023.96
Average total9.98

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=320.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.8%
Over 9.549.4%
Over 10.542.8%
Over 11.530.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches85
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT50.6%40.2%–61.0% CI
Draw FT31.8%22.8%–42.3% CI
Away FT17.6%11.0%–27.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.51

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal78.8%
2+ goals42.4%
3+ goals21.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home64.7%
Away40.0%