Primeira Liga · 2023/24
2024-05-18 · 15:30
12.8133.7%
X3.4727.3%
22.4339.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Arouca
DWLWWWLWWD
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Guimaraes
DDLWDWWWLL
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM

Goals

2.00
Scored
1.20
1.40
Conceded
1.20
90%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.60
1H goals
1.30
1.80
2H goals
1.10
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

3.90N=10
For
5.70N=10
3.60
Against
5.80
7.50
Total
11.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.00
Goals scored
1.20
1.40
Goals conceded
1.20
3.40
Total goals
2.40
90%9/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
90%9/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
50%5/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Arouca attack

2.00goals per match
Guimaraes conceded1.20
Matchup

Guimaraes attack

1.20goals per match
Arouca conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.80
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.50
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.40
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.70
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.90N=10
Corners for
5.70N=10
3.60
Corners against
5.80
7.50
Match total
11.50
40%4/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.10N=10
For
3.20N=10
5.00
Match total
5.90
70%7/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

14.70N=10
Committed
14.90N=10
25.00
Match total
27.30

Shots

14.70N=10
Shots
10.80N=10
5.50
On target
3.10
14%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches232
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home33.7%34.5%+0.8 pp
Draw27.3%29.7%+2.4 pp
Away39.0%35.8%-3.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.579.7%
Over 2.555.2%
Over 3.533.2%
BTTS59.9%

Historical average

1.421.42

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-111.2%
0-010.3%
1-28.6%
2-17.8%
2-06.9%

Comparable corner averages

5.275.12
Average total10.39

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=232.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.573.7%
Over 9.557.3%
Over 10.546.6%
Over 11.535.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches69
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT26.1%17.2%–37.5% CI
Draw FT50.7%39.2%–62.2% CI
Away FT23.2%14.8%–34.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.51

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal65.2%
2+ goals49.3%
3+ goals20.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home50.7%
Away44.9%