Primeira Liga · 2023/24
2024-05-17 · 20:45
16.7314.1%
X5.0518.8%
21.4167.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Rio Ave
DDWDWDDWDW
4W 6D 0L · 1.80 PPM
Benfica
DWWWDLWLWL
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
1.50
0.80
Conceded
1.30
30%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
40%

By half

0.80
1H goals
1.40
1.50
2H goals
1.40
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.50N=10
For
7.40N=10
4.40
Against
4.20
8.90
Total
11.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
1.50
0.80
Goals conceded
1.30
2.30
Total goals
2.80
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Rio Ave attack

1.50goals per match
Benfica conceded1.30
Matchup

Benfica attack

1.50goals per match
Rio Ave conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.80
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.60
40%4/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.70
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.70
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.50N=10
Corners for
7.40N=10
4.40
Corners against
4.20
8.90
Match total
11.60
60%6/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.90N=10
For
2.40N=10
6.20
Match total
4.60
100%10/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

14.70N=10
Committed
9.70N=10
28.20
Match total
21.10

Shots

9.30N=10
Shots
13.20N=10
3.80
On target
5.50
16%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches38
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home14.1%15.8%+1.7 pp
Draw18.8%18.4%-0.3 pp
Away67.2%65.8%-1.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.578.9%
Over 2.552.6%
Over 3.531.6%
BTTS47.4%

Historical average

0.821.95

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-215.8%
1-210.5%
0-110.5%
1-010.5%
1-110.5%

Comparable corner averages

3.475.79
Average total9.26

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=38.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.557.9%
Over 9.550.0%
Over 10.539.5%
Over 11.528.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches11
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT18.2%5.1%–47.7% CI
Draw FT18.2%5.1%–47.7% CI
Away FT63.6%35.4%–84.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.82

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal90.9%
2+ goals36.4%
3+ goals27.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home36.4%
Away72.7%