Primeira Liga · 2023/24
2024-05-17 · 18:45
11.7653.9%
X3.7325.4%
24.6020.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Famalicao
DDLWDDWLDW
3W 5D 2L · 1.40 PPM
Casa Pia
LWWLLWLWDL
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
2.00
1.20
Conceded
2.30
50%
Over 2.5
80%
70%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.20
1H goals
2.10
1.40
2H goals
2.20
70%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.30N=10
For
3.30N=10
6.50
Against
6.00
10.80
Total
9.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
2.00
1.20
Goals conceded
2.30
2.60
Total goals
4.30
80%8/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Famalicao attack

1.40goals per match
Casa Pia conceded2.30
Matchup

Casa Pia attack

2.00goals per match
Famalicao conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
1.00
0.50
1H goals conceded
1.10
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.70
2H goals scored
1.00
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.20
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.30N=10
Corners for
3.30N=10
6.50
Corners against
6.00
10.80
Match total
9.30
70%7/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.90N=10
For
2.60N=10
5.80
Match total
4.30
90%9/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

12.80N=10
Committed
14.40N=10
30.20
Match total
26.30

Shots

11.80N=10
Shots
8.60N=10
3.90
On target
4.60
12%
Conversion
23%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches513
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home53.9%57.9%+4.0 pp
Draw25.4%25.0%-0.5 pp
Away20.6%17.2%-3.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.577.4%
Over 2.553.2%
Over 3.530.2%
BTTS55.0%

Historical average

1.840.96

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-112.3%
1-112.3%
1-010.9%
2-09.2%
0-06.8%

Comparable corner averages

6.163.97
Average total10.13

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=513.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.3%
Over 9.553.2%
Over 10.541.3%
Over 11.530.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches136
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT44.9%36.8%–53.2% CI
Draw FT39.0%31.2%–47.4% CI
Away FT16.2%10.9%–23.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.37

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal74.3%
2+ goals39.7%
3+ goals16.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home60.3%
Away40.4%