Primeira Liga · 2023/24
2024-05-12 · 20:30
11.1681.5%
X7.5312.6%
215.985.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Porto
WWWDWWWLDD
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM
Boavista
LWLDLDLLLL
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM

Goals

2.40
Scored
0.80
0.70
Conceded
1.80
60%
Over 2.5
40%
40%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.20
1.70
2H goals
1.40
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

8.50N=10
For
3.90N=10
2.70
Against
6.20
11.20
Total
10.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.40
Goals scored
0.80
0.70
Goals conceded
1.80
3.10
Total goals
2.60
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Porto attack

2.40goals per match
Boavista conceded1.80
Matchup

Boavista attack

0.80goals per match
Porto conceded0.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.40
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.50
2H goals scored
0.40
0.20
2H goals conceded
1.00
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
8.50N=10
Corners for
3.90N=10
2.70
Corners against
6.20
11.20
Match total
10.10
60%6/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
2.50N=10
5.60
Match total
5.20
70%7/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

13.70N=10
Committed
12.70N=10
29.40
Match total
27.90

Shots

16.90N=10
Shots
8.10N=10
6.90
On target
3.00
14%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches64
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home81.5%87.5%+6.0 pp
Draw12.6%9.4%-3.2 pp
Away5.9%3.1%-2.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.584.4%
Over 2.568.8%
Over 3.545.3%
BTTS43.8%

Historical average

2.730.63

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

3-014.1%
1-012.5%
3-112.5%
2-012.5%
2-17.8%

Comparable corner averages

8.372.65
Average total11.02

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=63.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.573.0%
Over 9.569.8%
Over 10.558.7%
Over 11.542.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches10
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT80.0%49.0%–94.3% CI
Draw FT10.0%1.8%–40.4% CI
Away FT10.0%1.8%–40.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.90

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal90.0%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals20.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home80.0%
Away30.0%