Primeira Liga · 2023/24
2024-05-12 · 18:00
12.6136.2%
X3.0630.9%
22.8732.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Casa Pia
LLLDWDLDLW
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Moreirense
DDWLLWLLLW
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

0.70
Scored
0.70
1.20
Conceded
1.30
40%
Over 2.5
30%
40%
BTTS
20%

By half

0.60
1H goals
0.80
1.30
2H goals
1.20
70%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

4.80N=10
For
3.60N=10
5.00
Against
5.20
9.80
Total
8.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.70
Goals scored
0.70
1.20
Goals conceded
1.30
1.90
Total goals
2.00
50%5/10
Over 1.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
BTTS
20%2/10
Matchup

Casa Pia attack

0.70goals per match
Moreirense conceded1.30
Matchup

Moreirense attack

0.70goals per match
Casa Pia conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
0.30
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.50
40%4/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.40
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.80
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.80N=10
Corners for
3.60N=10
5.00
Corners against
5.20
9.80
Match total
8.80
50%5/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.20N=10
For
2.00N=10
2.80
Match total
4.60
30%3/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

11.10N=10
Committed
13.60N=10
22.20
Match total
27.50

Shots

10.20N=10
Shots
9.50N=10
3.20
On target
3.10
7%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches677
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home36.2%33.8%-2.4 pp
Draw30.9%36.8%+5.9 pp
Away32.9%29.4%-3.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.563.8%
Over 2.535.5%
Over 3.516.7%
BTTS47.7%

Historical average

1.101.03

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-118.2%
1-013.1%
0-013.0%
0-110.0%
2-17.7%

Comparable corner averages

4.814.53
Average total9.34

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=677.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.557.3%
Over 9.546.5%
Over 10.535.6%
Over 11.525.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches247
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT29.6%24.2%–35.5% CI
Draw FT49.0%42.8%–55.2% CI
Away FT21.5%16.8%–27.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.09

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal64.4%
2+ goals31.2%
3+ goals10.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home47.0%
Away38.9%