Primeira Liga · 2023/24
2024-05-12 · 15:30
12.0645.9%
X3.4127.7%
23.5826.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Gil Vicente
DWDWLDDLLD
2W 5D 3L · 1.10 PPM
Farense
LLWDLLLLDW
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

0.80
Scored
1.30
1.20
Conceded
1.70
30%
Over 2.5
70%
50%
BTTS
70%

By half

0.80
1H goals
1.20
1.20
2H goals
1.80
70%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

5.00N=10
For
3.50N=10
4.00
Against
9.10
9.00
Total
12.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.80
Goals scored
1.30
1.20
Goals conceded
1.70
2.00
Total goals
3.00
60%6/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Gil Vicente attack

0.80goals per match
Farense conceded1.70
Matchup

Farense attack

1.30goals per match
Gil Vicente conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
0.70
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.50
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.60
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.20
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.00N=10
Corners for
3.50N=10
4.00
Corners against
9.10
9.00
Match total
12.60
50%5/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.40N=10
For
2.80N=10
4.80
Match total
4.90
70%7/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

12.40N=10
Committed
12.70N=10
26.00
Match total
25.50

Shots

10.50N=10
Shots
9.60N=10
3.10
On target
4.40
8%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches303
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home45.9%42.9%-3.0 pp
Draw27.7%29.7%+2.0 pp
Away26.4%27.4%+1.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.575.9%
Over 2.551.5%
Over 3.528.7%
BTTS54.5%

Historical average

1.531.15

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.5%
1-08.9%
0-07.9%
2-17.6%
3-17.6%

Comparable corner averages

5.384.52
Average total9.91

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=303.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.4%
Over 9.552.8%
Over 10.540.9%
Over 11.528.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches96
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT34.4%25.6%–44.3% CI
Draw FT43.8%34.3%–53.7% CI
Away FT21.9%14.8%–31.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.51

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal75.0%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals19.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home57.3%
Away47.9%