Primeira Liga · 2023/24
2024-05-12 · 15:30
12.0645.9%
X3.4127.7%
23.5826.4%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Gil Vicente
DWDWLDDLLD
2W 5D 3L · 1.10 PPM
Farense
LLWDLLLLDW
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM
Goals
0.80
Scored
1.30
1.20
Conceded
1.70
30%
Over 2.5
70%
50%
BTTS
70%
By half
0.80
1H goals
1.20
1.20
2H goals
1.80
70%
Goal in 2H
100%
Corners
5.00N=10
For
3.50N=10
4.00
Against
9.10
9.00
Total
12.60
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.80
Goals scored
1.30
1.20
Goals conceded
1.70
2.00
Total goals
3.00
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Gil Vicente attack
0.80goals per matchFarense conceded1.70Matchup
Farense attack
1.30goals per matchGil Vicente conceded1.20Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
0.70
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.60
2H goals scored
0.60
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.20
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.00N=10
Corners for
3.50N=10
4.00
Corners against
9.10
9.00
Match total
12.60
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.40N=10
For
2.80N=10
4.80
Match total
4.90
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.40N=10
Committed
12.70N=10
26.00
Match total
25.50
Shots
10.50N=10
Shots
9.60N=10
3.10
On target
4.40
8%
Conversion
14%
Market history
Similar historical matches
medium · Tier A
Comparable matches303
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home45.9%42.9%-3.0 pp
Draw27.7%29.7%+2.0 pp
Away26.4%27.4%+1.0 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.575.9%
Over 2.551.5%
Over 3.528.7%
BTTS54.5%
Historical average
1.53–1.15
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-114.5%
1-08.9%
0-07.9%
2-17.6%
3-17.6%
Comparable corner averages
5.38–4.52
Average total9.91
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=303.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.564.4%
Over 9.552.8%
Over 10.540.9%
Over 11.528.1%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches96
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT34.4%25.6%–44.3% CI
Draw FT43.8%34.3%–53.7% CI
Away FT21.9%14.8%–31.1% CI
Remaining goals
1.51
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal75.0%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals19.8%
Who scores in 2H
Home57.3%
Away47.9%