Primeira Liga · 2023/24
2024-05-11 · 18:00
16.4914.6%
X4.8819.4%
21.4366.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Estoril
WLLWLLWWLW
5W 0D 5L · 1.50 PPM
Sp Lisbon
WWWWDWWWWD
8W 2D 0L · 2.60 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
2.70
1.20
Conceded
0.90
50%
Over 2.5
80%
40%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.10
1H goals
2.00
1.30
2H goals
1.60
80%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

5.00N=10
For
5.50N=10
4.80
Against
2.60
9.80
Total
8.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
2.70
1.20
Goals conceded
0.90
2.40
Total goals
3.60
50%5/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Estoril attack

1.20goals per match
Sp Lisbon conceded0.90
Matchup

Sp Lisbon attack

2.70goals per match
Estoril conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
1.40
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.60
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
60%6/10
0.80
2H goals scored
1.30
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.30
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.00N=10
Corners for
5.50N=10
4.80
Corners against
2.60
9.80
Match total
8.10
70%7/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
1.70N=10
4.90
Match total
4.20
70%7/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

13.80N=10
Committed
12.10N=10
27.30
Match total
25.10

Shots

9.20N=10
Shots
14.10N=10
3.70
On target
6.20
13%
Conversion
19%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches103
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home14.6%18.4%+3.9 pp
Draw19.4%11.7%-7.7 pp
Away66.1%69.9%+3.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.578.6%
Over 2.559.2%
Over 3.535.0%
BTTS48.5%

Historical average

0.862.10

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-111.7%
0-211.7%
1-310.7%
1-29.7%
0-38.7%

Comparable corner averages

3.706.60
Average total10.30

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=103.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.572.8%
Over 9.558.3%
Over 10.545.6%
Over 11.530.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches24
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT12.5%4.3%–31.0% CI
Draw FT29.2%14.9%–49.2% CI
Away FT58.3%38.8%–75.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.50

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal87.5%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals12.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home33.3%
Away75.0%