Primeira Liga · 2023/24
2024-05-11 · 15:30
13.4727.2%
X3.4827.1%
22.0745.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Vizela
LDLLLDWLLD
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM
Estrela
DDLLLLDDDD
0W 6D 4L · 0.60 PPM

Goals

1.00
Scored
0.40
2.30
Conceded
1.30
60%
Over 2.5
30%
60%
BTTS
30%

By half

1.20
1H goals
0.50
2.10
2H goals
1.20
70%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

6.20N=10
For
5.10N=10
4.90
Against
5.90
11.10
Total
11.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
0.40
2.30
Goals conceded
1.30
3.30
Total goals
1.70
70%7/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
60%6/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Vizela attack

1.00goals per match
Estrela conceded1.30
Matchup

Estrela attack

0.40goals per match
Vizela conceded2.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.00
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.50
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
40%4/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.40
1.50
2H goals conceded
0.80
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.20N=10
Corners for
5.10N=10
4.90
Corners against
5.90
11.10
Match total
11.00
80%8/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.50N=10
For
2.20N=10
4.80
Match total
3.90
100%10/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

15.20N=10
Committed
11.30N=10
27.20
Match total
24.70

Shots

12.90N=10
Shots
9.20N=10
4.40
On target
2.90
8%
Conversion
4%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches282
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home27.2%25.2%-2.0 pp
Draw27.1%25.9%-1.3 pp
Away45.6%48.9%+3.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.572.3%
Over 2.550.4%
Over 3.527.7%
BTTS52.8%

Historical average

1.071.52

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-111.7%
1-111.3%
1-29.9%
0-29.2%
1-08.2%

Comparable corner averages

4.704.89
Average total9.59

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=282.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.559.6%
Over 9.547.9%
Over 10.537.6%
Over 11.529.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches85
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT17.6%11.0%–27.1% CI
Draw FT40.0%30.2%–50.6% CI
Away FT42.4%32.4%–53.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.59

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal74.1%
2+ goals50.6%
3+ goals24.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home40.0%
Away65.9%