Primeira Liga · 2023/24
2024-05-11 · 15:30
13.4727.2%
X3.4827.1%
22.0745.6%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Vizela
LDLLLDWLLD
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM
Estrela
DDLLLLDDDD
0W 6D 4L · 0.60 PPM
Goals
1.00
Scored
0.40
2.30
Conceded
1.30
60%
Over 2.5
30%
60%
BTTS
30%
By half
1.20
1H goals
0.50
2.10
2H goals
1.20
70%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
6.20N=10
For
5.10N=10
4.90
Against
5.90
11.10
Total
11.00
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
very strongOver 8.5 corners
8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
0.40
2.30
Goals conceded
1.30
3.30
Total goals
1.70
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Vizela attack
1.00goals per matchEstrela conceded1.30Matchup
Estrela attack
0.40goals per matchVizela conceded2.30Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.00
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.60
2H goals scored
0.40
1.50
2H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.20N=10
Corners for
5.10N=10
4.90
Corners against
5.90
11.10
Match total
11.00
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.50N=10
For
2.20N=10
4.80
Match total
3.90
Over 3.5
Fouls
15.20N=10
Committed
11.30N=10
27.20
Match total
24.70
Shots
12.90N=10
Shots
9.20N=10
4.40
On target
2.90
8%
Conversion
4%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches282
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home27.2%25.2%-2.0 pp
Draw27.1%25.9%-1.3 pp
Away45.6%48.9%+3.3 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.572.3%
Over 2.550.4%
Over 3.527.7%
BTTS52.8%
Historical average
1.07–1.52
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
0-111.7%
1-111.3%
1-29.9%
0-29.2%
1-08.2%
Comparable corner averages
4.70–4.89
Average total9.59
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=282.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.559.6%
Over 9.547.9%
Over 10.537.6%
Over 11.529.1%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches85
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT17.6%11.0%–27.1% CI
Draw FT40.0%30.2%–50.6% CI
Away FT42.4%32.4%–53.0% CI
Remaining goals
1.59
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal74.1%
2+ goals50.6%
3+ goals24.7%
Who scores in 2H
Home40.0%
Away65.9%