Primeira Liga · 2023/24
2024-05-10 · 20:15
12.7035.2%
X3.2729.0%
22.6535.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Chaves
LLDDWLLLDL
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM
Famalicao
DLWLDLLWDL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

1.00
Scored
1.00
2.30
Conceded
1.40
80%
Over 2.5
40%
70%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.60
1H goals
1.30
1.70
2H goals
1.10
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.40N=10
For
4.10N=10
4.50
Against
5.20
8.90
Total
9.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
1.00
2.30
Goals conceded
1.40
3.30
Total goals
2.40
90%9/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
70%7/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Chaves attack

1.00goals per match
Famalicao conceded1.40
Matchup

Famalicao attack

1.00goals per match
Chaves conceded2.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.70
1.00
1H goals conceded
0.60
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
0.40
2H goals scored
0.30
1.30
2H goals conceded
0.80
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.40N=10
Corners for
4.10N=10
4.50
Corners against
5.20
8.90
Match total
9.30
50%5/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.40N=10
For
2.90N=10
4.50
Match total
4.70
60%6/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

13.90N=10
Committed
15.90N=10
28.20
Match total
31.00

Shots

9.20N=10
Shots
12.40N=10
3.30
On target
3.70
11%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches848
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home35.2%31.7%-3.4 pp
Draw29.0%28.4%-0.6 pp
Away35.8%39.9%+4.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.570.8%
Over 2.546.5%
Over 3.523.1%
BTTS52.8%

Historical average

1.151.31

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.9%
0-112.1%
1-09.4%
1-28.7%
2-18.5%

Comparable corner averages

5.084.82
Average total9.90

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=848.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.7%
Over 9.551.4%
Over 10.538.4%
Over 11.529.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches280
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT29.6%24.6%–35.2% CI
Draw FT36.1%30.7%–41.8% CI
Away FT34.3%29.0%–40.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.36

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal76.8%
2+ goals36.8%
3+ goals16.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home47.9%
Away55.0%