Primeira Liga · 2023/24
2024-05-05 · 20:30
17.5112.6%
X4.9419.1%
21.3868.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Famalicao
LDDLWDDWLD
2W 5D 3L · 1.10 PPM
Benfica
WDWWWDLWLW
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
1.70
1.50
Conceded
1.10
60%
Over 2.5
60%
70%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.40
1.30
2H goals
1.40
70%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.70N=10
For
7.20N=10
5.70
Against
4.20
10.40
Total
11.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.70
1.50
Goals conceded
1.10
2.70
Total goals
2.80
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Famalicao attack

1.20goals per match
Benfica conceded1.10
Matchup

Benfica attack

1.70goals per match
Famalicao conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.80
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.90
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.50
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.70N=10
Corners for
7.20N=10
5.70
Corners against
4.20
10.40
Match total
11.40
70%7/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.10N=10
For
2.50N=10
6.40
Match total
5.00
100%10/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

13.50N=10
Committed
9.70N=10
32.00
Match total
21.50

Shots

11.90N=10
Shots
12.70N=10
3.50
On target
4.80
10%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches100
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home12.6%13.0%+0.4 pp
Draw19.1%20.0%+0.9 pp
Away68.3%67.0%-1.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.584.0%
Over 2.565.0%
Over 3.538.0%
BTTS56.0%

Historical average

0.952.20

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-216.0%
0-213.0%
0-19.0%
2-28.0%
1-37.0%

Comparable corner averages

3.536.64
Average total10.17

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=100.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.569.0%
Over 9.555.0%
Over 10.544.0%
Over 11.535.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches25
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT8.0%2.2%–25.0% CI
Draw FT32.0%17.2%–51.6% CI
Away FT60.0%40.7%–76.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.76

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal84.0%
2+ goals56.0%
3+ goals28.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home36.0%
Away76.0%