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Primeira Liga · 2023/24
2024-05-05 · 18:00

Arouca

vs

Estrela

12.0146.8%
X3.6525.8%
23.4427.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
51020Season
Context
Home / AwayOverall
Past seasons
ExcludeInclude
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Arouca
LDWLWWWLWW
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM
Estrela
DDDLLLLDDD
0W 6D 4L · 0.60 PPM

Goals

2.00
Scored
0.50
1.50
Conceded
1.40
90%
Over 2.5
30%
50%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.70
1H goals
0.50
1.80
2H goals
1.40
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

3.60N=10
For
4.80N=10
4.10
Against
6.00
7.70
Total
10.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.00
Goals scored
0.50
1.50
Goals conceded
1.40
3.50
Total goals
1.90
90%9/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
90%9/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
50%5/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Arouca attack

2.00goals per match
Estrela conceded1.40
Matchup

Estrela attack

0.50goals per match
Arouca conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.00
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.50
100%10/10
Over 0.5 1H
40%4/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.50
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.90
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.60N=10
Corners for
4.80N=10
4.10
Corners against
6.00
7.70
Match total
10.80
40%4/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.20N=10
For
1.90N=10
5.10
Match total
3.90
70%7/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

14.80N=10
Committed
11.70N=10
25.60
Match total
25.30

Shots

13.80N=10
Shots
9.30N=10
6.10
On target
2.70
14%
Conversion
5%
Historical scope
AllTop 5CountryLeague
History
3y5y10yAll
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches444
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home46.8%43.9%-2.9 pp
Draw25.8%29.7%+3.9 pp
Away27.4%26.4%-1.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.575.0%
Over 2.553.2%
Over 3.531.3%
BTTS55.0%

Historical average

1.60–1.12

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-112.8%
1-09.9%
0-07.9%
1-27.9%
2-27.7%

Comparable corner averages

5.58–4.60
Average total10.18

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=444.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.7%
Over 9.555.0%
Over 10.544.1%
Over 11.532.7%
Half-time score
0-01-00-11-12-00-2Altro
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches136
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT36.0%28.4%–44.4% CI
Draw FT40.4%32.6%–48.8% CI
Away FT23.5%17.2%–31.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.44

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal74.3%
2+ goals41.2%
3+ goals20.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home57.4%
Away44.9%
Related pages

Open the teams, competition or a direct side-by-side comparison without returning to search.

Home teamAroucaForm, scoring, venue splits and recent matches.Away teamEstrelaForm, scoring, venue splits and recent matches.CompareArouca vs EstrelaCompare both teams across the same current-season window.CompetitionPrimeira LigaLeague results, averages, matchday data and coverage.RankingsPrimeira Liga team rankingsSee how teams in this competition rank across StatsXI metrics.