Primeira Liga · 2023/24
2024-05-05 · 15:30
12.5437.1%
X3.1030.4%
22.9132.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Farense
WLDWLDLDWL
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Estoril
WLDLDLDLDD
1W 5D 4L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

1.00
Scored
1.20
1.10
Conceded
2.00
30%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
80%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.40
0.80
2H goals
1.80
60%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.80N=10
For
5.20N=10
6.90
Against
5.00
11.70
Total
10.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
1.20
1.10
Goals conceded
2.00
2.10
Total goals
3.20
70%7/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Farense attack

1.00goals per match
Estoril conceded2.00
Matchup

Estoril attack

1.20goals per match
Farense conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.30
0.70
1H goals conceded
1.10
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
0.40
2H goals scored
0.90
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.90
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.80N=10
Corners for
5.20N=10
6.90
Corners against
5.00
11.70
Match total
10.20
80%8/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.60N=10
For
2.70N=10
3.50
Match total
5.00
40%4/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

14.20N=10
Committed
12.20N=10
26.20
Match total
23.10

Shots

10.80N=10
Shots
10.90N=10
4.00
On target
3.80
9%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches38
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home37.1%44.7%+7.6 pp
Draw30.4%15.8%-14.6 pp
Away32.4%39.5%+7.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.576.3%
Over 2.557.9%
Over 3.531.6%
BTTS60.5%

Historical average

1.421.34

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-110.5%
0-110.5%
3-110.5%
1-010.5%
1-210.5%

Comparable corner averages

4.114.45
Average total8.55

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=38.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.550.0%
Over 9.539.5%
Over 10.531.6%
Over 11.526.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches11
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT27.3%9.7%–56.6% CI
Draw FT36.4%15.2%–64.6% CI
Away FT36.4%15.2%–64.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.82

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal90.9%
2+ goals63.6%
3+ goals18.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home72.7%
Away63.6%