Primeira Liga · 2023/24
2024-05-04 · 18:00
11.0788.7%
X12.557.6%
225.033.8%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Sp Lisbon
WWWWWWWWWW
10W 0D 0L · 3.00 PPM
Portimonense
LLLLWLLLWD
2W 1D 7L · 0.70 PPM
Goals
4.00
Scored
1.20
0.80
Conceded
2.70
90%
Over 2.5
70%
60%
BTTS
50%
By half
2.20
1H goals
1.20
2.60
2H goals
2.70
100%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
6.60N=10
For
4.90N=10
3.50
Against
5.80
10.10
Total
10.70
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongOver 2.5 goals
9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
10/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
4.00
Goals scored
1.20
0.80
Goals conceded
2.70
4.80
Total goals
3.90
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Sp Lisbon attack
4.00goals per matchPortimonense conceded2.70Matchup
Portimonense attack
1.20goals per matchSp Lisbon conceded0.80Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.80
1H goals scored
0.60
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
2.20
2H goals scored
0.60
0.40
2H goals conceded
2.10
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.60N=10
Corners for
4.90N=10
3.50
Corners against
5.80
10.10
Match total
10.70
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.80N=10
For
2.40N=10
4.10
Match total
4.30
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.60N=10
Committed
12.60N=10
21.30
Match total
25.20
Shots
16.20N=10
Shots
10.70N=10
6.70
On target
3.20
25%
Conversion
11%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches25
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home88.7%92.0%+3.3 pp
Draw7.6%4.0%-3.6 pp
Away3.8%4.0%+0.2 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.592.0%
Over 2.568.0%
Over 3.556.0%
BTTS32.0%
Historical average
3.68–0.52
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-020.0%
5-012.0%
3-08.0%
4-08.0%
6-04.0%
Comparable corner averages
8.96–1.80
Average total10.76
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=25.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.576.0%
Over 9.564.0%
Over 10.556.0%
Over 11.544.0%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches18
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT77.8%54.8%–91.0% CI
Draw FT11.1%3.1%–32.8% CI
Away FT11.1%3.1%–32.8% CI
Remaining goals
2.72
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal88.9%
2+ goals66.7%
3+ goals50.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home83.3%
Away27.8%