Primeira Liga · 2023/24
2024-05-04 · 18:00
11.0788.7%
X12.557.6%
225.033.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Sp Lisbon
WWWWWWWWWW
10W 0D 0L · 3.00 PPM
Portimonense
LLLLWLLLWD
2W 1D 7L · 0.70 PPM

Goals

4.00
Scored
1.20
0.80
Conceded
2.70
90%
Over 2.5
70%
60%
BTTS
50%

By half

2.20
1H goals
1.20
2.60
2H goals
2.70
100%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

6.60N=10
For
4.90N=10
3.50
Against
5.80
10.10
Total
10.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
4.00
Goals scored
1.20
0.80
Goals conceded
2.70
4.80
Total goals
3.90
100%10/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
90%9/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Sp Lisbon attack

4.00goals per match
Portimonense conceded2.70
Matchup

Portimonense attack

1.20goals per match
Sp Lisbon conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.80
1H goals scored
0.60
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.60
100%10/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
70%7/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
2.20
2H goals scored
0.60
0.40
2H goals conceded
2.10
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
80%8/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.60N=10
Corners for
4.90N=10
3.50
Corners against
5.80
10.10
Match total
10.70
70%7/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
2.40N=10
4.10
Match total
4.30
60%6/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

10.60N=10
Committed
12.60N=10
21.30
Match total
25.20

Shots

16.20N=10
Shots
10.70N=10
6.70
On target
3.20
25%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches25
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home88.7%92.0%+3.3 pp
Draw7.6%4.0%-3.6 pp
Away3.8%4.0%+0.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.592.0%
Over 2.568.0%
Over 3.556.0%
BTTS32.0%

Historical average

3.680.52

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-020.0%
5-012.0%
3-08.0%
4-08.0%
6-04.0%

Comparable corner averages

8.961.80
Average total10.76

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=25.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.576.0%
Over 9.564.0%
Over 10.556.0%
Over 11.544.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches18
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT77.8%54.8%–91.0% CI
Draw FT11.1%3.1%–32.8% CI
Away FT11.1%3.1%–32.8% CI

Remaining goals

2.72

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal88.9%
2+ goals66.7%
3+ goals50.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home83.3%
Away27.8%