Primeira Liga · 2023/24
2024-05-04 · 15:30
12.7234.8%
X3.2928.7%
22.5936.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Rio Ave
WDDWDWDDWD
4W 6D 0L · 1.80 PPM
Guimaraes
WDDLWDWWWL
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
1.30
0.70
Conceded
1.10
20%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
70%

By half

0.80
1H goals
1.30
1.40
2H goals
1.10
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.20N=10
For
5.80N=10
4.10
Against
5.30
8.30
Total
11.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
1.30
0.70
Goals conceded
1.10
2.20
Total goals
2.40
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
20%2/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
50%5/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Rio Ave attack

1.50goals per match
Guimaraes conceded1.10
Matchup

Guimaraes attack

1.30goals per match
Rio Ave conceded0.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.90
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.40
40%4/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.40
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.70
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.20N=10
Corners for
5.80N=10
4.10
Corners against
5.30
8.30
Match total
11.10
50%5/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.80N=10
For
2.90N=10
5.70
Match total
5.50
100%10/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

14.40N=10
Committed
14.50N=10
27.60
Match total
26.10

Shots

9.50N=10
Shots
11.50N=10
3.80
On target
3.10
16%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches624
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home34.8%29.6%-5.1 pp
Draw28.7%33.3%+4.6 pp
Away36.5%37.0%+0.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.572.0%
Over 2.544.9%
Over 3.522.9%
BTTS55.4%

Historical average

1.161.27

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-116.8%
0-111.1%
0-09.6%
1-29.0%
2-18.5%

Comparable corner averages

4.994.96
Average total9.94

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=624.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.4%
Over 9.554.0%
Over 10.540.5%
Over 11.529.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches202
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT23.3%18.0%–29.6% CI
Draw FT45.5%38.8%–52.4% CI
Away FT31.2%25.2%–37.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.22

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal70.3%
2+ goals36.1%
3+ goals13.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home43.6%
Away52.0%