Primeira Liga · 2023/24
2024-05-04 · 15:30
12.5437.2%
X3.2828.8%
22.7834.0%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Boavista
LLDDLWLWDD
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM
Gil Vicente
LLLWLWDLLW
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM
Goals
0.80
Scored
0.80
1.90
Conceded
1.60
50%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
30%
By half
1.40
1H goals
1.00
1.30
2H goals
1.40
80%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
5.60N=10
For
4.20N=10
4.00
Against
4.90
9.60
Total
9.10
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.80
Goals scored
0.80
1.90
Goals conceded
1.60
2.70
Total goals
2.40
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Boavista attack
0.80goals per matchGil Vicente conceded1.60Matchup
Gil Vicente attack
0.80goals per matchBoavista conceded1.90Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.30
1.10
1H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.50
2H goals scored
0.50
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.60N=10
Corners for
4.20N=10
4.00
Corners against
4.90
9.60
Match total
9.10
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
3.60N=10
For
1.70N=10
6.00
Match total
3.30
Over 3.5
Fouls
15.80N=10
Committed
9.70N=10
27.40
Match total
22.80
Shots
10.80N=10
Shots
8.80N=10
3.10
On target
4.20
7%
Conversion
9%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches750
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home37.2%35.6%-1.6 pp
Draw28.8%28.8%-0.0 pp
Away34.0%35.6%+1.6 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.572.4%
Over 2.547.9%
Over 3.523.6%
BTTS53.7%
Historical average
1.25–1.26
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-114.4%
1-010.5%
1-29.9%
0-19.3%
0-07.7%
Comparable corner averages
5.14–4.62
Average total9.75
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=750.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.564.1%
Over 9.550.9%
Over 10.538.7%
Over 11.526.9%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches237
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT30.4%24.9%–36.5% CI
Draw FT39.7%33.6%–46.0% CI
Away FT30.0%24.5%–36.1% CI
Remaining goals
1.39
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal75.5%
2+ goals40.9%
3+ goals15.2%
Who scores in 2H
Home52.3%
Away51.5%