Primeira Liga · 2023/24
2024-05-03 · 20:15
12.1344.5%
X3.3328.5%
23.5027.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Moreirense
DWLWWLDWDL
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Vizela
LDDLWLDLLL
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
0.90
1.10
Conceded
2.40
30%
Over 2.5
60%
30%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.40
0.90
2H goals
1.90
50%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.00N=10
For
3.30N=10
4.10
Against
4.80
9.10
Total
8.10
Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
0.90
1.10
Goals conceded
2.40
2.20
Total goals
3.30
40%4/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Moreirense attack

1.10goals per match
Vizela conceded2.40
Matchup

Vizela attack

0.90goals per match
Moreirense conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.30
0.70
1H goals conceded
1.10
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.60
0.40
2H goals conceded
1.30
50%5/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.00N=10
Corners for
3.30N=10
4.10
Corners against
4.80
9.10
Match total
8.10
50%5/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
2.60N=10
3.40
Match total
4.80
60%6/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

12.60N=10
Committed
13.60N=10
25.20
Match total
29.00

Shots

11.40N=10
Shots
8.40N=10
3.50
On target
3.10
10%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches908
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home44.5%42.4%-2.1 pp
Draw28.5%30.5%+2.1 pp
Away27.1%27.1%+0.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.572.0%
Over 2.545.0%
Over 3.524.0%
BTTS54.1%

Historical average

1.401.10

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.2%
1-010.4%
2-110.1%
0-18.9%
0-08.7%

Comparable corner averages

5.354.34
Average total9.69

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=908.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.9%
Over 9.551.2%
Over 10.538.9%
Over 11.527.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches306
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitystrong
Home FT34.3%29.2%–39.8% CI
Draw FT39.2%33.9%–44.8% CI
Away FT26.5%21.8%–31.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.31

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal74.2%
2+ goals38.2%
3+ goals14.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home53.3%
Away45.4%