Primeira Liga · 2023/24
2024-04-29 · 20:15
12.1543.9%
X3.3428.3%
23.4027.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Estrela
LWLDLWDWLD
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Farense
DLLWDLLLLD
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM

Goals

1.60
Scored
1.10
1.70
Conceded
1.80
70%
Over 2.5
60%
80%
BTTS
80%

By half

1.50
1H goals
1.10
1.80
2H goals
1.80
70%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

5.00N=10
For
3.40N=10
4.90
Against
9.50
9.90
Total
12.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongBoth teams scored

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
1.10
1.70
Goals conceded
1.80
3.30
Total goals
2.90
90%9/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
80%8/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Estrela attack

1.60goals per match
Farense conceded1.80
Matchup

Farense attack

1.10goals per match
Estrela conceded1.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.60
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.50
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.50
1.10
2H goals conceded
1.30
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.00N=10
Corners for
3.40N=10
4.90
Corners against
9.50
9.90
Match total
12.90
70%7/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.00N=10
For
2.90N=10
4.10
Match total
5.00
50%5/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

13.80N=10
Committed
12.90N=10
26.10
Match total
25.90

Shots

9.40N=10
Shots
9.30N=10
3.70
On target
4.40
17%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches936
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home43.9%43.7%-0.2 pp
Draw28.3%29.8%+1.5 pp
Away27.8%26.5%-1.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.572.8%
Over 2.546.2%
Over 3.526.4%
BTTS54.2%

Historical average

1.461.12

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.4%
1-011.4%
2-19.0%
0-07.9%
0-17.9%

Comparable corner averages

5.604.39
Average total9.99

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=936.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.4%
Over 9.553.6%
Over 10.540.7%
Over 11.530.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches302
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitystrong
Home FT34.4%29.3%–40.0% CI
Draw FT39.4%34.1%–45.0% CI
Away FT26.2%21.5%–31.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.33

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal75.5%
2+ goals37.7%
3+ goals13.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home55.6%
Away45.7%