Primeira Liga · 2023/24
2024-04-28 · 20:30
12.5836.6%
X3.3927.9%
22.6635.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Porto
WWWWDWWWLD
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM
Sp Lisbon
LWWWWDWWWW
8W 1D 1L · 2.50 PPM

Goals

2.50
Scored
2.70
0.60
Conceded
1.00
60%
Over 2.5
80%
40%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.30
1H goals
2.00
1.80
2H goals
1.70
80%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

8.70N=10
For
5.50N=10
2.20
Against
2.50
10.90
Total
8.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.50
Goals scored
2.70
0.60
Goals conceded
1.00
3.10
Total goals
3.70
80%8/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Porto attack

2.50goals per match
Sp Lisbon conceded1.00
Matchup

Sp Lisbon attack

2.70goals per match
Porto conceded0.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
1.50
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.50
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
60%6/10
1.70
2H goals scored
1.20
0.10
2H goals conceded
0.50
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
8.70N=10
Corners for
5.50N=10
2.20
Corners against
2.50
10.90
Match total
8.00
60%6/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.00N=10
For
1.60N=10
5.60
Match total
4.30
70%7/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

13.90N=10
Committed
11.50N=10
29.40
Match total
25.00

Shots

17.40N=10
Shots
14.30N=10
7.00
On target
6.10
14%
Conversion
19%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches556
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home36.6%35.1%-1.5 pp
Draw27.9%27.9%+0.0 pp
Away35.5%37.1%+1.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.579.7%
Over 2.551.4%
Over 3.527.7%
BTTS58.8%

Historical average

1.371.40

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.8%
1-29.9%
1-08.8%
2-17.4%
2-07.0%

Comparable corner averages

5.274.76
Average total10.03

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=556.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.8%
Over 9.551.4%
Over 10.540.8%
Over 11.530.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches150
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT36.7%29.4%–44.6% CI
Draw FT32.7%25.7%–40.5% CI
Away FT30.7%23.8%–38.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.65

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal82.7%
2+ goals48.7%
3+ goals22.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home60.7%
Away54.7%