Primeira Liga · 2023/24
2024-04-28 · 18:00
12.2941.2%
X3.3228.4%
23.1130.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Estoril
WWLLWLLWWL
5W 0D 5L · 1.50 PPM
Famalicao
DDLWLDLLWD
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
1.00
1.20
Conceded
1.30
60%
Over 2.5
40%
40%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.20
1.60
2H goals
1.10
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.00N=10
For
4.20N=10
4.80
Against
5.40
9.80
Total
9.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
1.00
1.20
Goals conceded
1.30
2.70
Total goals
2.30
60%6/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Estoril attack

1.50goals per match
Famalicao conceded1.30
Matchup

Famalicao attack

1.00goals per match
Estoril conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.70
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.50
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
1.10
2H goals scored
0.30
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.80
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.00N=10
Corners for
4.20N=10
4.80
Corners against
5.40
9.80
Match total
9.60
70%7/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.30N=10
For
3.00N=10
5.40
Match total
4.90
80%8/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

14.10N=10
Committed
16.40N=10
27.50
Match total
31.90

Shots

9.80N=10
Shots
12.40N=10
4.40
On target
3.60
15%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches1,008
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home41.2%41.5%+0.2 pp
Draw28.4%29.7%+1.2 pp
Away30.4%28.9%-1.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.572.5%
Over 2.547.3%
Over 3.526.6%
BTTS53.1%

Historical average

1.421.17

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.6%
1-010.4%
2-18.9%
0-08.5%
0-18.5%

Comparable corner averages

5.494.61
Average total10.10

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=1,008.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.6%
Over 9.554.9%
Over 10.541.9%
Over 11.531.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches311
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitystrong
Home FT34.1%29.0%–39.5% CI
Draw FT40.2%34.9%–45.7% CI
Away FT25.7%21.2%–30.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.25

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal72.3%
2+ goals36.3%
3+ goals13.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home51.1%
Away43.4%