Primeira Liga · 2023/24
2024-04-28 · 15:30
12.9532.0%
X3.3228.4%
22.3839.6%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Portimonense
DLWLLDDLLD
1W 4D 5L · 0.70 PPM
Moreirense
WDDWLLWLLL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Goals
1.00
Scored
0.60
1.80
Conceded
1.30
50%
Over 2.5
30%
60%
BTTS
20%
By half
1.00
1H goals
0.80
1.80
2H goals
1.10
90%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
3.20N=10
For
3.60N=10
7.20
Against
4.90
10.40
Total
8.50
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
0.60
1.80
Goals conceded
1.30
2.80
Total goals
1.90
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Portimonense attack
1.00goals per matchMoreirense conceded1.30Matchup
Moreirense attack
0.60goals per matchPortimonense conceded1.80Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.30
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.70
2H goals scored
0.30
1.10
2H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
3.20N=10
Corners for
3.60N=10
7.20
Corners against
4.90
10.40
Match total
8.50
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.70N=10
For
2.30N=10
4.70
Match total
4.90
Over 3.5
Fouls
14.50N=10
Committed
14.40N=10
26.80
Match total
29.20
Shots
9.80N=10
Shots
9.40N=10
3.50
On target
2.70
10%
Conversion
6%
Market history
Similar historical matches
medium · Tier A
Comparable matches433
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home32.0%30.5%-1.5 pp
Draw28.4%23.6%-4.8 pp
Away39.6%46.0%+6.3 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.570.0%
Over 2.543.2%
Over 3.522.9%
BTTS48.7%
Historical average
1.08–1.38
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
0-112.9%
1-112.5%
1-010.2%
1-29.0%
0-28.5%
Comparable corner averages
4.82–5.08
Average total9.91
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=433.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.561.7%
Over 9.552.0%
Over 10.541.3%
Over 11.529.3%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches144
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT30.6%23.6%–38.5% CI
Draw FT32.6%25.5%–40.7% CI
Away FT36.8%29.4%–44.9% CI
Remaining goals
1.41
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal79.2%
2+ goals41.7%
3+ goals15.3%
Who scores in 2H
Home48.6%
Away52.8%