Primeira Liga · 2023/24
2024-04-28 · 15:30
12.9532.0%
X3.3228.4%
22.3839.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Portimonense
DLWLLDDLLD
1W 4D 5L · 0.70 PPM
Moreirense
WDDWLLWLLL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

1.00
Scored
0.60
1.80
Conceded
1.30
50%
Over 2.5
30%
60%
BTTS
20%

By half

1.00
1H goals
0.80
1.80
2H goals
1.10
90%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

3.20N=10
For
3.60N=10
7.20
Against
4.90
10.40
Total
8.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
0.60
1.80
Goals conceded
1.30
2.80
Total goals
1.90
80%8/10
Over 1.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
BTTS
20%2/10
Matchup

Portimonense attack

1.00goals per match
Moreirense conceded1.30
Matchup

Moreirense attack

0.60goals per match
Portimonense conceded1.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.30
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.50
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.30
1.10
2H goals conceded
0.80
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.20N=10
Corners for
3.60N=10
7.20
Corners against
4.90
10.40
Match total
8.50
70%7/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
20%2/10
20%2/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.70N=10
For
2.30N=10
4.70
Match total
4.90
80%8/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

14.50N=10
Committed
14.40N=10
26.80
Match total
29.20

Shots

9.80N=10
Shots
9.40N=10
3.50
On target
2.70
10%
Conversion
6%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches433
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home32.0%30.5%-1.5 pp
Draw28.4%23.6%-4.8 pp
Away39.6%46.0%+6.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.570.0%
Over 2.543.2%
Over 3.522.9%
BTTS48.7%

Historical average

1.081.38

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-112.9%
1-112.5%
1-010.2%
1-29.0%
0-28.5%

Comparable corner averages

4.825.08
Average total9.91

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=433.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.7%
Over 9.552.0%
Over 10.541.3%
Over 11.529.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches144
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT30.6%23.6%–38.5% CI
Draw FT32.6%25.5%–40.7% CI
Away FT36.8%29.4%–44.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.41

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal79.2%
2+ goals41.7%
3+ goals15.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home48.6%
Away52.8%