Primeira Liga · 2023/24
2024-04-27 · 20:30
11.5959.3%
X3.9224.1%
25.6616.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Guimaraes
LWWWWDLWWD
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Boavista
LLWLDLDLLL
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
0.90
1.00
Conceded
2.00
50%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.10
1.20
2H goals
1.80
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

7.20N=10
For
4.00N=10
4.60
Against
6.00
11.80
Total
10.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
0.90
1.00
Goals conceded
2.00
2.50
Total goals
2.90
70%7/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Guimaraes attack

1.50goals per match
Boavista conceded2.00
Matchup

Boavista attack

0.90goals per match
Guimaraes conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.40
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.50
0.30
2H goals conceded
1.30
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.20N=10
Corners for
4.00N=10
4.60
Corners against
6.00
11.80
Match total
10.00
90%9/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.50N=10
For
2.20N=10
5.10
Match total
5.00
80%8/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

12.80N=10
Committed
12.40N=10
25.00
Match total
27.90

Shots

13.40N=10
Shots
8.30N=10
5.30
On target
3.50
11%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches243
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home59.3%61.3%+2.0 pp
Draw24.1%23.9%-0.2 pp
Away16.7%14.8%-1.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.577.0%
Over 2.549.4%
Over 3.532.5%
BTTS47.7%

Historical average

1.980.78

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-013.6%
1-112.8%
1-011.1%
3-17.8%
0-17.4%

Comparable corner averages

5.963.65
Average total9.61

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=243.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.560.1%
Over 9.548.6%
Over 10.537.4%
Over 11.530.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches75
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT48.0%37.1%–59.1% CI
Draw FT30.7%21.4%–41.8% CI
Away FT21.3%13.6%–31.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.57

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal85.3%
2+ goals50.7%
3+ goals17.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home66.7%
Away48.0%