Primeira Liga · 2023/24
2024-04-27 · 15:30
12.6735.5%
X3.1929.7%
22.7234.8%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Vizela
DLDLLLDWLL
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM
Rio Ave
DLLDDLDDDD
0W 7D 3L · 0.70 PPM
Goals
0.90
Scored
0.70
2.20
Conceded
1.20
60%
Over 2.5
40%
50%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.00
1H goals
0.90
2.10
2H goals
1.00
70%
Goal in 2H
60%
Corners
6.00N=10
For
3.10N=10
5.60
Against
7.50
11.60
Total
10.60
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
0.70
2.20
Goals conceded
1.20
3.10
Total goals
1.90
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Vizela attack
0.90goals per matchRio Ave conceded1.20Matchup
Rio Ave attack
0.70goals per matchVizela conceded2.20Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.50
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.60
2H goals scored
0.20
1.50
2H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.00N=10
Corners for
3.10N=10
5.60
Corners against
7.50
11.60
Match total
10.60
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.40N=10
For
3.20N=10
4.80
Match total
5.60
Over 3.5
Fouls
15.30N=10
Committed
14.70N=10
27.60
Match total
29.40
Shots
12.20N=10
Shots
7.90N=10
4.40
On target
3.20
7%
Conversion
9%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches965
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home35.5%32.6%-2.8 pp
Draw29.7%31.7%+2.0 pp
Away34.8%35.6%+0.8 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.570.9%
Over 2.543.8%
Over 3.521.7%
BTTS51.9%
Historical average
1.15–1.24
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-115.6%
0-110.9%
0-09.3%
2-19.0%
1-08.9%
Comparable corner averages
5.06–4.80
Average total9.86
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=964.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.564.5%
Over 9.551.7%
Over 10.539.7%
Over 11.529.4%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches320
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitystrong
Home FT26.3%21.7%–31.3% CI
Draw FT42.8%37.5%–48.3% CI
Away FT30.9%26.1%–36.2% CI
Remaining goals
1.25
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal71.9%
2+ goals36.6%
3+ goals13.1%
Who scores in 2H
Home43.8%
Away50.9%