Primeira Liga · 2023/24
2024-04-27 · 15:30
12.6735.5%
X3.1929.7%
22.7234.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Vizela
DLDLLLDWLL
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM
Rio Ave
DLLDDLDDDD
0W 7D 3L · 0.70 PPM

Goals

0.90
Scored
0.70
2.20
Conceded
1.20
60%
Over 2.5
40%
50%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.00
1H goals
0.90
2.10
2H goals
1.00
70%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

6.00N=10
For
3.10N=10
5.60
Against
7.50
11.60
Total
10.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
0.70
2.20
Goals conceded
1.20
3.10
Total goals
1.90
60%6/10
Over 1.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Vizela attack

0.90goals per match
Rio Ave conceded1.20
Matchup

Rio Ave attack

0.70goals per match
Vizela conceded2.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.50
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.40
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.20
1.50
2H goals conceded
0.80
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.00N=10
Corners for
3.10N=10
5.60
Corners against
7.50
11.60
Match total
10.60
90%9/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.40N=10
For
3.20N=10
4.80
Match total
5.60
100%10/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

15.30N=10
Committed
14.70N=10
27.60
Match total
29.40

Shots

12.20N=10
Shots
7.90N=10
4.40
On target
3.20
7%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches965
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home35.5%32.6%-2.8 pp
Draw29.7%31.7%+2.0 pp
Away34.8%35.6%+0.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.570.9%
Over 2.543.8%
Over 3.521.7%
BTTS51.9%

Historical average

1.151.24

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.6%
0-110.9%
0-09.3%
2-19.0%
1-08.9%

Comparable corner averages

5.064.80
Average total9.86

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=964.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.5%
Over 9.551.7%
Over 10.539.7%
Over 11.529.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches320
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitystrong
Home FT26.3%21.7%–31.3% CI
Draw FT42.8%37.5%–48.3% CI
Away FT30.9%26.1%–36.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.25

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal71.9%
2+ goals36.6%
3+ goals13.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home43.8%
Away50.9%