Primeira Liga · 2023/24
2024-04-27 · 15:30
12.0745.8%
X3.2329.4%
23.8324.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Casa Pia
WLLLDWDLDL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Chaves
LLLDDLDDLW
1W 4D 5L · 0.70 PPM

Goals

0.50
Scored
0.60
1.10
Conceded
1.30
30%
Over 2.5
30%
30%
BTTS
40%

By half

0.50
1H goals
0.90
1.10
2H goals
1.00
70%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

4.90N=10
For
4.40N=10
5.00
Against
7.90
9.90
Total
12.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.50
Goals scored
0.60
1.10
Goals conceded
1.30
1.60
Total goals
1.90
40%4/10
Over 1.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
30%3/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Casa Pia attack

0.50goals per match
Chaves conceded1.30
Matchup

Chaves attack

0.60goals per match
Casa Pia conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.10
1H goals scored
0.30
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.60
30%3/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
0%0/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.40
2H goals scored
0.30
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.70
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.90N=10
Corners for
4.40N=10
5.00
Corners against
7.90
9.90
Match total
12.30
50%5/10
Over 8.5
100%10/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
90%9/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.20N=10
For
3.30N=10
2.70
Match total
6.10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
100%10/10

Fouls

11.70N=10
Committed
12.80N=10
23.10
Match total
27.40

Shots

10.20N=10
Shots
8.60N=10
2.90
On target
2.70
5%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches463
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home45.8%46.2%+0.4 pp
Draw29.4%28.5%-0.9 pp
Away24.8%25.3%+0.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.563.9%
Over 2.540.6%
Over 3.523.5%
BTTS46.2%

Historical average

1.350.95

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-016.0%
1-111.0%
0-011.0%
0-19.1%
2-18.0%

Comparable corner averages

5.463.97
Average total9.43

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=463.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.558.3%
Over 9.547.1%
Over 10.533.5%
Over 11.525.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches159
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT39.6%32.4%–47.4% CI
Draw FT39.6%32.4%–47.4% CI
Away FT20.8%15.2%–27.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.15

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal67.9%
2+ goals30.2%
3+ goals11.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home50.9%
Away32.7%