Primeira Liga · 2023/24
2024-04-26 · 20:15
12.5537.2%
X3.4527.5%
22.6935.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Gil Vicente
DDWDWLDDLL
2W 5D 3L · 1.10 PPM
Arouca
WWLWWLWLWD
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM

Goals

0.70
Scored
2.20
1.10
Conceded
0.90
20%
Over 2.5
70%
50%
BTTS
60%

By half

0.80
1H goals
1.60
1.00
2H goals
1.50
70%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.20N=10
For
3.90N=10
4.20
Against
5.30
9.40
Total
9.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.70
Goals scored
2.20
1.10
Goals conceded
0.90
1.80
Total goals
3.10
60%6/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
20%2/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Gil Vicente attack

0.70goals per match
Arouca conceded0.90
Matchup

Arouca attack

2.20goals per match
Gil Vicente conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
1.00
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.60
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.50
2H goals scored
1.20
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.30
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.20N=10
Corners for
3.90N=10
4.20
Corners against
5.30
9.40
Match total
9.20
60%6/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.20N=10
For
2.30N=10
4.60
Match total
4.10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

12.70N=10
Committed
11.60N=10
27.20
Match total
23.20

Shots

10.40N=10
Shots
12.00N=10
3.00
On target
4.50
7%
Conversion
18%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches513
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home37.2%36.5%-0.8 pp
Draw27.5%27.3%-0.2 pp
Away35.3%36.3%+1.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.578.9%
Over 2.550.1%
Over 3.526.9%
BTTS56.9%

Historical average

1.371.36

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.0%
1-29.7%
1-09.4%
0-17.6%
2-07.6%

Comparable corner averages

5.304.73
Average total10.03

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=513.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.5%
Over 9.550.9%
Over 10.540.2%
Over 11.530.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches132
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT35.6%28.0%–44.1% CI
Draw FT30.3%23.1%–38.6% CI
Away FT34.1%26.6%–42.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.53

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal84.1%
2+ goals44.7%
3+ goals16.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home57.6%
Away53.8%