Primeira Liga · 2023/24
2024-04-22 · 20:15
16.7014.1%
X5.0218.8%
21.4167.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Farense
DWLDWLDLDW
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Benfica
WWDWWWDLWL
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM

Goals

0.90
Scored
1.50
0.80
Conceded
1.00
20%
Over 2.5
50%
40%
BTTS
30%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.10
0.70
2H goals
1.40
50%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.90N=10
For
7.20N=10
6.80
Against
4.30
12.70
Total
11.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
1.50
0.80
Goals conceded
1.00
1.70
Total goals
2.50
60%6/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Farense attack

0.90goals per match
Benfica conceded1.00
Matchup

Benfica attack

1.50goals per match
Farense conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.60
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.50
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.40
2H goals scored
0.90
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.50
50%5/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.90N=10
Corners for
7.20N=10
6.80
Corners against
4.30
12.70
Match total
11.50
80%8/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.60N=10
For
2.50N=10
3.40
Match total
5.20
40%4/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

15.10N=10
Committed
9.50N=10
27.20
Match total
21.60

Shots

11.60N=10
Shots
12.80N=10
4.30
On target
4.40
8%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches86
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home14.1%16.3%+2.2 pp
Draw18.8%19.8%+0.9 pp
Away67.1%64.0%-3.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.581.4%
Over 2.564.0%
Over 3.538.4%
BTTS53.5%

Historical average

0.942.09

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-210.5%
1-310.5%
0-39.3%
1-18.1%
0-28.1%

Comparable corner averages

3.886.47
Average total10.35

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=86.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.569.8%
Over 9.558.1%
Over 10.545.3%
Over 11.531.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches21
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT9.5%2.7%–28.9% CI
Draw FT38.1%20.8%–59.1% CI
Away FT52.4%32.4%–71.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.52

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal81.0%
2+ goals52.4%
3+ goals14.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home28.6%
Away71.4%