Primeira Liga · 2023/24
2024-04-21 · 20:30
11.2873.7%
X5.6616.7%
29.809.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Sp Lisbon
WWWWWWWWWW
10W 0D 0L · 3.00 PPM
Guimaraes
LWDDLWDWWW
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM

Goals

3.90
Scored
1.30
0.90
Conceded
0.90
90%
Over 2.5
40%
70%
BTTS
70%

By half

2.10
1H goals
1.10
2.70
2H goals
1.10
100%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

6.60N=10
For
6.70N=10
3.40
Against
5.20
10.00
Total
11.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
3.90
Goals scored
1.30
0.90
Goals conceded
0.90
4.80
Total goals
2.20
100%10/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
90%9/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
70%7/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Sp Lisbon attack

3.90goals per match
Guimaraes conceded0.90
Matchup

Guimaraes attack

1.30goals per match
Sp Lisbon conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.70
1H goals scored
0.90
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.20
100%10/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
70%7/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
2.20
2H goals scored
0.40
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.70
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.60N=10
Corners for
6.70N=10
3.40
Corners against
5.20
10.00
Match total
11.90
70%7/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.10N=10
For
3.00N=10
5.00
Match total
5.60
70%7/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

10.30N=10
Committed
14.60N=10
21.80
Match total
26.20

Shots

16.20N=10
Shots
11.90N=10
6.80
On target
3.20
24%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches159
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home73.7%76.1%+2.4 pp
Draw16.7%15.7%-0.9 pp
Away9.6%8.2%-1.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.581.1%
Over 2.562.3%
Over 3.533.3%
BTTS52.2%

Historical average

2.300.73

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-115.7%
1-011.3%
3-010.7%
2-010.1%
1-18.2%

Comparable corner averages

7.702.98
Average total10.68

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=159.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.574.2%
Over 9.559.7%
Over 10.548.4%
Over 11.537.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches36
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT61.1%44.9%–75.2% CI
Draw FT30.6%18.0%–46.9% CI
Away FT8.3%2.9%–21.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.75

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal86.1%
2+ goals44.4%
3+ goals25.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home77.8%
Away41.7%