Primeira Liga · 2023/24
2024-04-21 · 18:00
18.8910.6%
X4.7619.9%
21.3669.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Casa Pia
LWLLLDWDLD
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Porto
WWWLDWLDWL
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM

Goals

0.40
Scored
1.70
1.00
Conceded
1.00
20%
Over 2.5
50%
20%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.30
1H goals
1.50
1.10
2H goals
1.20
70%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.70N=10
For
6.40N=10
5.20
Against
3.50
9.90
Total
9.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.40
Goals scored
1.70
1.00
Goals conceded
1.00
1.40
Total goals
2.70
30%3/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
20%2/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
20%2/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Casa Pia attack

0.40goals per match
Porto conceded1.00
Matchup

Porto attack

1.70goals per match
Casa Pia conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.00
1H goals scored
1.00
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.50
20%2/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
0%0/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.40
2H goals scored
0.70
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.50
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.70N=10
Corners for
6.40N=10
5.20
Corners against
3.50
9.90
Match total
9.90
50%5/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.20N=10
For
3.20N=10
2.90
Match total
6.50
30%3/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

11.50N=10
Committed
14.00N=10
23.10
Match total
31.90

Shots

10.20N=10
Shots
13.30N=10
2.70
On target
4.50
4%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches24
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home10.6%0.0%-10.6 pp
Draw19.9%25.0%+5.1 pp
Away69.5%75.0%+5.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.566.7%
Over 2.554.2%
Over 3.516.7%
BTTS33.3%

Historical average

0.421.88

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-125.0%
0-320.8%
1-216.7%
0-08.3%
0-48.3%

Comparable corner averages

3.256.21
Average total9.46

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=24.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.575.0%
Over 9.541.7%
Over 10.525.0%
Over 11.512.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches11
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT9.1%1.6%–37.7% CI
Draw FT54.5%28.0%–78.7% CI
Away FT36.4%15.2%–64.6% CI

Remaining goals

0.82

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal54.5%
2+ goals18.2%
3+ goals9.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home18.2%
Away45.5%