Primeira Liga · 2023/24
2024-04-21 · 15:30
11.6059.0%
X3.9823.7%
25.4617.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Famalicao
WLDDLWDDWL
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Portimonense
LLLLLWLLLW
2W 0D 8L · 0.60 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
1.00
1.40
Conceded
2.60
60%
Over 2.5
60%
70%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.50
1H goals
1.20
1.20
2H goals
2.40
70%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.50N=10
For
4.80N=10
5.30
Against
5.90
9.80
Total
10.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
1.00
1.40
Goals conceded
2.60
2.70
Total goals
3.60
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Famalicao attack

1.30goals per match
Portimonense conceded2.60
Matchup

Portimonense attack

1.00goals per match
Famalicao conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.50
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.40
2H goals scored
0.50
0.80
2H goals conceded
1.90
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.50N=10
Corners for
4.80N=10
5.30
Corners against
5.90
9.80
Match total
10.70
70%7/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.20N=10
For
2.60N=10
6.40
Match total
4.70
100%10/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

13.50N=10
Committed
12.70N=10
31.20
Match total
25.40

Shots

11.80N=10
Shots
9.70N=10
3.70
On target
2.70
11%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches265
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home59.0%59.6%+0.6 pp
Draw23.7%23.4%-0.3 pp
Away17.3%17.0%-0.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.580.8%
Over 2.554.0%
Over 3.530.9%
BTTS53.6%

Historical average

1.940.89

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-112.5%
2-012.1%
2-111.7%
3-17.5%
0-17.2%

Comparable corner averages

6.193.85
Average total10.04

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=265.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.5%
Over 9.553.6%
Over 10.543.0%
Over 11.532.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches69
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT44.9%33.8%–56.6% CI
Draw FT36.2%25.9%–48.0% CI
Away FT18.8%11.4%–29.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.61

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal81.2%
2+ goals53.6%
3+ goals20.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home62.3%
Away50.7%