Primeira Liga · 2023/24
2024-04-21 · 15:30
12.8233.5%
X3.3228.5%
22.4938.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Chaves
LWLLDDWLLL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM
Estoril
LWLDLDLDLD
1W 4D 5L · 0.70 PPM

Goals

1.00
Scored
1.00
2.10
Conceded
1.90
70%
Over 2.5
50%
70%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.50
1H goals
1.40
1.60
2H goals
1.50
90%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

4.00N=10
For
5.10N=10
4.10
Against
4.90
8.10
Total
10.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
1.00
2.10
Goals conceded
1.90
3.10
Total goals
2.90
90%9/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Chaves attack

1.00goals per match
Estoril conceded1.90
Matchup

Estoril attack

1.00goals per match
Chaves conceded2.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.30
0.90
1H goals conceded
1.10
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
0.40
2H goals scored
0.70
1.20
2H goals conceded
0.80
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.00N=10
Corners for
5.10N=10
4.10
Corners against
4.90
8.10
Match total
10.00
40%4/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
10%1/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.90N=10
For
2.70N=10
5.20
Match total
5.50
70%7/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

15.00N=10
Committed
11.80N=10
29.30
Match total
23.00

Shots

9.70N=10
Shots
11.30N=10
3.10
On target
3.60
10%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches534
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home33.5%30.3%-3.2 pp
Draw28.5%27.3%-1.1 pp
Away38.0%42.3%+4.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.570.4%
Over 2.545.9%
Over 3.526.2%
BTTS51.7%

Historical average

1.161.38

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.1%
0-112.7%
1-08.8%
0-08.1%
2-17.1%

Comparable corner averages

4.995.05
Average total10.05

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=534.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.7%
Over 9.553.7%
Over 10.542.3%
Over 11.532.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches176
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT23.9%18.2%–30.7% CI
Draw FT36.9%30.2%–44.3% CI
Away FT39.2%32.3%–46.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.30

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal75.6%
2+ goals36.9%
3+ goals10.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home39.8%
Away56.3%