Primeira Liga · 2023/24
2024-04-20 · 18:00
12.6136.2%
X3.2129.5%
22.7634.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Boavista
LLLDDLWLWD
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Estrela
LDDDLLLLDD
0W 5D 5L · 0.50 PPM

Goals

0.70
Scored
0.60
2.00
Conceded
1.60
50%
Over 2.5
40%
50%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.50
1H goals
0.60
1.20
2H goals
1.60
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.40N=10
For
4.40N=10
4.30
Against
6.00
9.70
Total
10.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.70
Goals scored
0.60
2.00
Goals conceded
1.60
2.70
Total goals
2.20
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Boavista attack

0.70goals per match
Estrela conceded1.60
Matchup

Estrela attack

0.60goals per match
Boavista conceded2.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.00
1.20
1H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
0.40
2H goals scored
0.60
0.80
2H goals conceded
1.00
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.40N=10
Corners for
4.40N=10
4.30
Corners against
6.00
9.70
Match total
10.40
60%6/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.70N=10
For
2.00N=10
6.30
Match total
3.90
100%10/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

15.80N=10
Committed
11.50N=10
28.00
Match total
24.20

Shots

10.00N=10
Shots
8.80N=10
2.80
On target
2.80
7%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches941
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home36.2%33.7%-2.6 pp
Draw29.5%33.4%+3.9 pp
Away34.3%32.9%-1.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.570.5%
Over 2.542.2%
Over 3.520.8%
BTTS51.6%

Historical average

1.171.19

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-116.5%
1-010.3%
0-19.7%
0-09.6%
2-18.7%

Comparable corner averages

5.044.70
Average total9.75

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=940.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.1%
Over 9.550.0%
Over 10.537.7%
Over 11.527.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches314
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitystrong
Home FT28.3%23.6%–33.6% CI
Draw FT43.9%38.6%–49.5% CI
Away FT27.7%23.0%–32.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.25

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal71.3%
2+ goals37.9%
3+ goals12.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home46.8%
Away47.1%