Primeira Liga · 2023/24
2024-04-19 · 20:15
12.6236.3%
X3.1630.1%
22.8233.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Rio Ave
LWDDWDWDDW
4W 5D 1L · 1.70 PPM
Arouca
LWWLWWLWLW
6W 0D 4L · 1.80 PPM

Goals

1.70
Scored
2.10
1.00
Conceded
1.00
30%
Over 2.5
70%
50%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.70
1.60
2H goals
1.40
90%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

4.30N=10
For
3.90N=10
4.10
Against
5.50
8.40
Total
9.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
2.10
1.00
Goals conceded
1.00
2.70
Total goals
3.10
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Rio Ave attack

1.70goals per match
Arouca conceded1.00
Matchup

Arouca attack

2.10goals per match
Rio Ave conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
1.00
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.70
40%4/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
1.00
2H goals scored
1.10
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.30
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.30N=10
Corners for
3.90N=10
4.10
Corners against
5.50
8.40
Match total
9.40
50%5/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.80N=10
For
2.10N=10
5.70
Match total
3.70
100%10/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

14.80N=10
Committed
11.70N=10
27.90
Match total
23.40

Shots

10.00N=10
Shots
11.80N=10
3.90
On target
4.50
17%
Conversion
18%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches907
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home36.3%34.8%-1.4 pp
Draw30.1%32.1%+2.0 pp
Away33.7%33.1%-0.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.570.7%
Over 2.544.1%
Over 3.522.7%
BTTS51.7%

Historical average

1.211.21

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.1%
1-010.4%
0-19.7%
0-09.3%
2-18.6%

Comparable corner averages

5.094.61
Average total9.70

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=906.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.2%
Over 9.549.7%
Over 10.537.2%
Over 11.526.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches301
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitystrong
Home FT28.9%24.1%–34.3% CI
Draw FT43.9%38.4%–49.5% CI
Away FT27.2%22.5%–32.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.27

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal72.1%
2+ goals37.9%
3+ goals12.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home47.8%
Away46.5%