Primeira Liga · 2023/24
2024-04-16 · 20:15
19.3210.2%
X5.6616.8%
21.3073.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Famalicao
LWLDDLWDDW
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Sp Lisbon
LLWWWWDWWW
7W 1D 2L · 2.20 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
2.70
1.60
Conceded
1.20
70%
Over 2.5
90%
80%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.60
1H goals
2.00
1.40
2H goals
1.90
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.20N=10
For
5.30N=10
5.00
Against
2.70
10.20
Total
8.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
2.70
1.60
Goals conceded
1.20
3.00
Total goals
3.90
90%9/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
90%9/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
80%8/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Famalicao attack

1.40goals per match
Sp Lisbon conceded1.20
Matchup

Sp Lisbon attack

2.70goals per match
Famalicao conceded1.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
1.50
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.50
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
60%6/10
0.50
2H goals scored
1.20
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.20N=10
Corners for
5.30N=10
5.00
Corners against
2.70
10.20
Match total
8.00
70%7/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.40N=10
For
1.70N=10
6.50
Match total
4.40
100%10/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

14.00N=10
Committed
11.20N=10
32.20
Match total
24.70

Shots

12.60N=10
Shots
14.10N=10
4.30
On target
6.30
11%
Conversion
19%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches83
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home10.2%12.0%+1.9 pp
Draw16.8%15.7%-1.1 pp
Away73.0%72.3%-0.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.584.3%
Over 2.566.3%
Over 3.545.8%
BTTS55.4%

Historical average

0.982.46

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-210.8%
0-29.6%
0-19.6%
0-48.4%
1-18.4%

Comparable corner averages

3.406.94
Average total10.34

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=83.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.569.9%
Over 9.551.8%
Over 10.542.2%
Over 11.530.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches21
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT9.5%2.7%–28.9% CI
Draw FT19.0%7.7%–40.0% CI
Away FT71.4%50.0%–86.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.90

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal90.5%
2+ goals52.4%
3+ goals23.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home33.3%
Away81.0%