Primeira Liga · 2023/24
2024-04-16 · 20:15
19.3210.2%
X5.6616.8%
21.3073.0%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Famalicao
LWLDDLWDDW
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Sp Lisbon
LLWWWWDWWW
7W 1D 2L · 2.20 PPM
Goals
1.40
Scored
2.70
1.60
Conceded
1.20
70%
Over 2.5
90%
80%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.60
1H goals
2.00
1.40
2H goals
1.90
80%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
5.20N=10
For
5.30N=10
5.00
Against
2.70
10.20
Total
8.00
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongOver 2.5 goals
7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
moderateBoth teams scored
8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
2.70
1.60
Goals conceded
1.20
3.00
Total goals
3.90
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Famalicao attack
1.40goals per matchSp Lisbon conceded1.20Matchup
Sp Lisbon attack
2.70goals per matchFamalicao conceded1.60Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
1.50
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.50
2H goals scored
1.20
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.20N=10
Corners for
5.30N=10
5.00
Corners against
2.70
10.20
Match total
8.00
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
3.40N=10
For
1.70N=10
6.50
Match total
4.40
Over 3.5
Fouls
14.00N=10
Committed
11.20N=10
32.20
Match total
24.70
Shots
12.60N=10
Shots
14.10N=10
4.30
On target
6.30
11%
Conversion
19%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches83
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home10.2%12.0%+1.9 pp
Draw16.8%15.7%-1.1 pp
Away73.0%72.3%-0.7 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.584.3%
Over 2.566.3%
Over 3.545.8%
BTTS55.4%
Historical average
0.98–2.46
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-210.8%
0-29.6%
0-19.6%
0-48.4%
1-18.4%
Comparable corner averages
3.40–6.94
Average total10.34
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=83.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.569.9%
Over 9.551.8%
Over 10.542.2%
Over 11.530.1%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches21
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT9.5%2.7%–28.9% CI
Draw FT19.0%7.7%–40.0% CI
Away FT71.4%50.0%–86.2% CI
Remaining goals
1.90
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal90.5%
2+ goals52.4%
3+ goals23.8%
Who scores in 2H
Home33.3%
Away81.0%