Primeira Liga · 2023/24
2024-04-15 · 20:15
11.9748.1%
X3.5127.0%
23.8124.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Vizela
LDLDLLLDWL
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM
Chaves
LLLLDDLDDL
0W 4D 6L · 0.40 PPM

Goals

0.90
Scored
0.50
2.30
Conceded
1.80
60%
Over 2.5
40%
50%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.10
2.10
2H goals
1.20
70%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.40N=10
For
4.20N=10
5.50
Against
7.30
10.90
Total
11.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
0.50
2.30
Goals conceded
1.80
3.20
Total goals
2.30
70%7/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Vizela attack

0.90goals per match
Chaves conceded1.80
Matchup

Chaves attack

0.50goals per match
Vizela conceded2.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.20
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.90
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.30
1.50
2H goals conceded
0.90
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.40N=10
Corners for
4.20N=10
5.50
Corners against
7.30
10.90
Match total
11.50
80%8/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.40N=10
For
3.40N=10
5.00
Match total
5.90
100%10/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

15.20N=10
Committed
12.10N=10
27.90
Match total
26.60

Shots

11.80N=10
Shots
8.60N=10
4.10
On target
2.80
8%
Conversion
6%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches761
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home48.1%44.8%-3.3 pp
Draw27.0%28.4%+1.4 pp
Away24.9%26.8%+1.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.572.3%
Over 2.547.3%
Over 3.523.1%
BTTS51.2%

Historical average

1.481.05

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.5%
1-011.3%
2-19.5%
0-18.5%
0-07.9%

Comparable corner averages

5.584.47
Average total10.04

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=761.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.1%
Over 9.551.9%
Over 10.541.0%
Over 11.531.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches267
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT38.6%32.9%–44.5% CI
Draw FT36.0%30.4%–41.9% CI
Away FT25.5%20.6%–31.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.41

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal77.5%
2+ goals40.4%
3+ goals16.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home55.1%
Away46.1%