Primeira Liga · 2023/24
2024-04-14 · 20:30
11.2774.5%
X5.6916.6%
210.728.8%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Benfica
WDWWWWWWWW
9W 1D 0L · 2.80 PPM
Moreirense
WWDDWLLWLL
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Goals
2.90
Scored
0.70
0.50
Conceded
1.00
70%
Over 2.5
20%
50%
BTTS
20%
By half
1.40
1H goals
0.70
2.00
2H goals
1.00
100%
Goal in 2H
60%
Corners
8.10N=10
For
3.90N=10
3.00
Against
5.00
11.10
Total
8.90
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
10/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.90
Goals scored
0.70
0.50
Goals conceded
1.00
3.40
Total goals
1.70
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Benfica attack
2.90goals per matchMoreirense conceded1.00Matchup
Moreirense attack
0.70goals per matchBenfica conceded0.50Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.10
1H goals scored
0.40
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.30
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.80
2H goals scored
0.30
0.20
2H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
8.10N=10
Corners for
3.90N=10
3.00
Corners against
5.00
11.10
Match total
8.90
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.10N=10
For
2.40N=10
4.20
Match total
5.00
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.80N=10
Committed
14.70N=10
22.60
Match total
29.50
Shots
17.50N=10
Shots
9.80N=10
8.50
On target
3.20
17%
Conversion
7%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches96
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home74.5%86.5%+11.9 pp
Draw16.6%10.4%-6.2 pp
Away8.8%3.1%-5.7 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.586.5%
Over 2.567.7%
Over 3.533.3%
BTTS51.0%
Historical average
2.46–0.61
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-119.8%
3-013.5%
2-012.5%
1-011.5%
3-110.4%
Comparable corner averages
7.66–2.80
Average total10.46
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=96.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.571.9%
Over 9.558.3%
Over 10.546.9%
Over 11.542.7%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches22
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT72.7%51.8%–86.8% CI
Draw FT27.3%13.2%–48.2% CI
Away FT0.0%0.0%–14.9% CI
Remaining goals
2.00
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal90.9%
2+ goals59.1%
3+ goals27.3%
Who scores in 2H
Home90.9%
Away31.8%