Primeira Liga · 2023/24
2024-04-14 · 20:30
11.2774.5%
X5.6916.6%
210.728.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Benfica
WDWWWWWWWW
9W 1D 0L · 2.80 PPM
Moreirense
WWDDWLLWLL
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM

Goals

2.90
Scored
0.70
0.50
Conceded
1.00
70%
Over 2.5
20%
50%
BTTS
20%

By half

1.40
1H goals
0.70
2.00
2H goals
1.00
100%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

8.10N=10
For
3.90N=10
3.00
Against
5.00
11.10
Total
8.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.90
Goals scored
0.70
0.50
Goals conceded
1.00
3.40
Total goals
1.70
90%9/10
Over 1.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
BTTS
20%2/10
Matchup

Benfica attack

2.90goals per match
Moreirense conceded1.00
Matchup

Moreirense attack

0.70goals per match
Benfica conceded0.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.10
1H goals scored
0.40
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.30
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.80
2H goals scored
0.30
0.20
2H goals conceded
0.70
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
8.10N=10
Corners for
3.90N=10
3.00
Corners against
5.00
11.10
Match total
8.90
80%8/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
100%10/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.10N=10
For
2.40N=10
4.20
Match total
5.00
70%7/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

12.80N=10
Committed
14.70N=10
22.60
Match total
29.50

Shots

17.50N=10
Shots
9.80N=10
8.50
On target
3.20
17%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches96
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home74.5%86.5%+11.9 pp
Draw16.6%10.4%-6.2 pp
Away8.8%3.1%-5.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.586.5%
Over 2.567.7%
Over 3.533.3%
BTTS51.0%

Historical average

2.460.61

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-119.8%
3-013.5%
2-012.5%
1-011.5%
3-110.4%

Comparable corner averages

7.662.80
Average total10.46

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=96.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.571.9%
Over 9.558.3%
Over 10.546.9%
Over 11.542.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches22
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT72.7%51.8%–86.8% CI
Draw FT27.3%13.2%–48.2% CI
Away FT0.0%0.0%–14.9% CI

Remaining goals

2.00

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal90.9%
2+ goals59.1%
3+ goals27.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home90.9%
Away31.8%