Primeira Liga · 2023/24
2024-04-14 · 18:00
12.7634.3%
X3.1030.5%
22.6935.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Portimonense
WDLWLLDDLL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Casa Pia
DLLWWLLWLW
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

1.00
Scored
1.60
1.70
Conceded
2.20
50%
Over 2.5
70%
60%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.90
1H goals
1.90
1.80
2H goals
1.90
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

3.00N=10
For
2.70N=10
7.20
Against
6.20
10.20
Total
8.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
1.60
1.70
Goals conceded
2.20
2.70
Total goals
3.80
80%8/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Portimonense attack

1.00goals per match
Casa Pia conceded2.20
Matchup

Casa Pia attack

1.60goals per match
Portimonense conceded1.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.80
0.60
1H goals conceded
1.10
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.80
1.10
2H goals conceded
1.10
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.00N=10
Corners for
2.70N=10
7.20
Corners against
6.20
10.20
Match total
8.90
70%7/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
10%1/10
Team over 4.5
10%1/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.90N=10
For
2.50N=10
4.70
Match total
4.00
80%8/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

15.00N=10
Committed
15.70N=10
27.10
Match total
28.60

Shots

9.90N=10
Shots
7.80N=10
3.90
On target
4.20
10%
Conversion
21%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches613
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home34.3%31.3%-3.0 pp
Draw30.5%34.6%+4.1 pp
Away35.2%34.1%-1.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.563.3%
Over 2.537.7%
Over 3.518.9%
BTTS46.5%

Historical average

1.051.11

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.3%
0-013.7%
0-111.7%
1-011.3%
1-27.5%

Comparable corner averages

4.594.72
Average total9.31

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=613.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.556.1%
Over 9.545.8%
Over 10.534.3%
Over 11.525.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches240
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT26.7%21.5%–32.6% CI
Draw FT47.9%41.7%–54.2% CI
Away FT25.4%20.3%–31.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.07

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal65.0%
2+ goals30.0%
3+ goals10.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home42.9%
Away42.1%