Primeira Liga · 2023/24
2024-04-14 · 18:00
11.6557.4%
X3.9124.2%
25.1318.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Arouca
LLDWLWWWLW
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM
Boavista
LLLWLDLDLL
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM

Goals

1.80
Scored
0.80
1.50
Conceded
2.00
80%
Over 2.5
40%
40%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.60
1H goals
1.00
1.70
2H goals
1.80
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.20N=10
For
3.90N=10
4.20
Against
6.20
8.40
Total
10.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
0.80
1.50
Goals conceded
2.00
3.30
Total goals
2.80
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Arouca attack

1.80goals per match
Boavista conceded2.00
Matchup

Boavista attack

0.80goals per match
Arouca conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.40
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.60
100%10/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.40
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.40
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.20N=10
Corners for
3.90N=10
4.20
Corners against
6.20
8.40
Match total
10.10
50%5/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.10N=10
For
2.00N=10
4.80
Match total
4.80
70%7/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

14.20N=10
Committed
13.00N=10
25.50
Match total
28.50

Shots

13.70N=10
Shots
8.50N=10
5.90
On target
3.20
13%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches390
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home57.4%59.7%+2.4 pp
Draw24.2%21.5%-2.7 pp
Away18.4%18.7%+0.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.573.1%
Over 2.550.5%
Over 3.525.6%
BTTS48.7%

Historical average

1.740.91

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-014.1%
2-112.1%
1-110.0%
2-010.0%
3-07.2%

Comparable corner averages

6.203.80
Average total10.00

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=390.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.0%
Over 9.553.3%
Over 10.541.5%
Over 11.532.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches126
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT54.0%45.3%–62.4% CI
Draw FT29.4%22.1%–37.8% CI
Away FT16.7%11.2%–24.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.38

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal81.0%
2+ goals36.5%
3+ goals15.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home64.3%
Away35.7%