Primeira Liga · 2023/24
2024-04-13 · 18:00
11.2476.6%
X6.0115.8%
212.487.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Porto
LWWWWDWWWL
7W 1D 2L · 2.20 PPM
Famalicao
LDDLWLDLLW
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

2.30
Scored
0.80
0.50
Conceded
1.20
50%
Over 2.5
30%
30%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.00
1H goals
0.90
1.80
2H goals
1.10
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

8.60N=10
For
4.40N=10
2.80
Against
4.70
11.40
Total
9.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.30
Goals scored
0.80
0.50
Goals conceded
1.20
2.80
Total goals
2.00
70%7/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
30%3/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Porto attack

2.30goals per match
Famalicao conceded1.20
Matchup

Famalicao attack

0.80goals per match
Porto conceded0.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.50
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.40
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
1.60
2H goals scored
0.30
0.20
2H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
8.60N=10
Corners for
4.40N=10
2.80
Corners against
4.70
11.40
Match total
9.10
60%6/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.10N=10
For
3.00N=10
6.10
Match total
4.80
70%7/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

13.60N=10
Committed
16.30N=10
29.10
Match total
31.70

Shots

17.00N=10
Shots
12.50N=10
6.60
On target
3.40
14%
Conversion
6%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches56
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home76.6%87.5%+10.9 pp
Draw15.8%8.9%-6.9 pp
Away7.6%3.6%-4.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.580.4%
Over 2.562.5%
Over 3.533.9%
BTTS44.6%

Historical average

2.430.63

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-019.6%
3-016.1%
3-114.3%
2-012.5%
2-110.7%

Comparable corner averages

6.612.73
Average total9.34

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=56.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.553.6%
Over 9.546.4%
Over 10.532.1%
Over 11.519.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches13
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT76.9%49.7%–91.8% CI
Draw FT23.1%8.2%–50.3% CI
Away FT0.0%0.0%–22.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.54

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal100.0%
2+ goals38.5%
3+ goals15.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home100.0%
Away23.1%