Primeira Liga · 2023/24
2024-04-13 · 15:30
11.5262.2%
X4.2122.5%
26.1815.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Guimaraes
WLWWWWDLWW
7W 1D 2L · 2.20 PPM
Farense
WDLLWDLLLL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

1.90
Scored
1.30
0.90
Conceded
1.80
60%
Over 2.5
70%
40%
BTTS
80%

By half

1.50
1H goals
1.10
1.30
2H goals
2.00
80%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

6.80N=10
For
3.50N=10
4.80
Against
9.60
11.60
Total
13.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.90
Goals scored
1.30
0.90
Goals conceded
1.80
2.80
Total goals
3.10
70%7/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Guimaraes attack

1.90goals per match
Farense conceded1.80
Matchup

Farense attack

1.30goals per match
Guimaraes conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.60
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.50
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.70
0.30
2H goals conceded
1.30
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.80N=10
Corners for
3.50N=10
4.80
Corners against
9.60
11.60
Match total
13.10
80%8/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.30N=10
For
2.60N=10
4.80
Match total
4.80
70%7/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

13.80N=10
Committed
12.60N=10
25.40
Match total
26.90

Shots

12.30N=10
Shots
9.60N=10
5.30
On target
4.50
15%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches304
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home62.2%58.6%-3.7 pp
Draw22.5%24.0%+1.5 pp
Away15.3%17.4%+2.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.574.7%
Over 2.547.7%
Over 3.528.6%
BTTS46.4%

Historical average

1.790.84

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-013.8%
1-012.8%
1-111.5%
2-17.6%
0-17.2%

Comparable corner averages

6.203.53
Average total9.73

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=304.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.560.2%
Over 9.547.4%
Over 10.540.8%
Over 11.532.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches88
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT44.3%34.4%–54.7% CI
Draw FT34.1%25.0%–44.5% CI
Away FT21.6%14.3%–31.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.38

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal81.8%
2+ goals36.4%
3+ goals14.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home62.5%
Away45.5%