Primeira Liga · 2023/24
2024-04-12 · 20:15
111.238.4%
X5.8116.3%
21.2675.2%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Gil Vicente
DDDWDWLDDL
2W 6D 2L · 1.20 PPM
Sp Lisbon
WLLWWWWDWW
7W 1D 2L · 2.20 PPM
Goals
1.00
Scored
2.50
1.00
Conceded
1.20
20%
Over 2.5
80%
60%
BTTS
60%
By half
0.50
1H goals
1.70
1.50
2H goals
2.00
80%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
5.00N=10
For
5.70N=10
4.70
Against
2.50
9.70
Total
8.20
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateBoth teams scored
6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
2.50
1.00
Goals conceded
1.20
2.00
Total goals
3.70
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Gil Vicente attack
1.00goals per matchSp Lisbon conceded1.20Matchup
Sp Lisbon attack
2.50goals per matchGil Vicente conceded1.00Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
1.20
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.70
2H goals scored
1.30
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.00N=10
Corners for
5.70N=10
4.70
Corners against
2.50
9.70
Match total
8.20
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.40N=10
For
1.90N=10
5.00
Match total
4.70
Over 3.5
Fouls
13.00N=10
Committed
11.10N=10
28.20
Match total
25.10
Shots
11.20N=10
Shots
14.20N=10
3.50
On target
6.30
9%
Conversion
18%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches47
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home8.4%8.5%+0.1 pp
Draw16.3%12.8%-3.6 pp
Away75.2%78.7%+3.5 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.585.1%
Over 2.557.4%
Over 3.540.4%
BTTS44.7%
Historical average
0.68–2.43
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
0-221.3%
0-310.6%
1-310.6%
0-18.5%
1-26.4%
Comparable corner averages
2.91–7.00
Average total9.91
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=47.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.568.1%
Over 9.561.7%
Over 10.544.7%
Over 11.525.5%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches11
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT18.2%5.1%–47.7% CI
Draw FT9.1%1.6%–37.7% CI
Away FT72.7%43.4%–90.3% CI
Remaining goals
1.55
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal90.9%
2+ goals36.4%
3+ goals18.2%
Who scores in 2H
Home27.3%
Away72.7%